I am going out on a limb here, but as a professional weather forecaster we do this at times!! Our three main medium range models, the GFS, European and Canadian Models, all are indicating a Bermuda high set up for the May 1-2 time period. There could be a straight shot of strong low-level winds from central America to the northeast U.S for a 24 to 36 hour window. I assume there will be continued arrivals this week into the weekend but it will be delayed some as we will see more stormy weather. Wednesday and Thursday we will see rainy conditions and potentially good migratory days for NY state. The weekend will be chilly before a potentially large high pressure system stalls off the southeast coast and leads to this strong southerly flow and hence potential influx of our favorite neotropical migrants, like warblers, orioles, RB grosbeaks etc. This is something to plan for but could change since we are 7 to 8 day out. I will continue to monitor and let you know.
Also, please check out the Cornell Lab of O's Birdcast as these guys continue to improve and enhance this site! This site gives you amazing resources to help plan your birding during migration season including expected fallouts, expected species. Great stuff!!! http://birdcast.info/ Dave Nicosia -- Cayugabirds-L List Info: http://www.NortheastBirding.com/CayugabirdsWELCOME http://www.NortheastBirding.com/CayugabirdsRULES http://www.NortheastBirding.com/CayugabirdsSubscribeConfigurationLeave.htm ARCHIVES: 1) http://firstname.lastname@example.org/maillist.html 2) http://www.surfbirds.com/birdingmail/Group/Cayugabirds 3) http://birdingonthe.net/mailinglists/CAYU.html Please submit your observations to eBird: http://ebird.org/content/ebird/ --