Update:

I've gotten some feedback asking for clarity on what I mean by "tangled". I paste here a visual aid:


The protein chains in an ensemble model are like these ropes. If these ropes are the same length as the distance from floor to ceiling, then straight up-and-down is the global minimum in energy (left). The anchor points are analogous to the rest of the protein structure, which is the same in both diagrams. Imagine for a moment, however, after anchoring the dangling rope ends to the floor you look up and see the ropes are actually crossed (right). You got the end points right, but no amount of pulling on the ropes (energy minimization) is going to get you from the tangled structure to the global minimum. The tangled ropes are also strained, because they are being forced to be a little longer than they want to be. This strain in protein models manifests as geometry outliers and the automatic weighting in your refinement program responds to bad geometry by relaxing the x-ray weight, which alleviates some of the strain, but increases your Rfree.

The goal of this challenge is to eliminate these tangles, and do it efficiently. What we need is a topoisomerase! Something that can find the source of strain and let the ropes pass through each other at the appropriate place.  I've always wanted one of those for the wires behind my desk...

More details on the origins of tangling in ensemble models can be found here:
https://bl831.als.lbl.gov/~jamesh/challenge/twoconf/#tangle

-James Holton
MAD Scientist

On 1/18/2024 4:33 PM, James Holton wrote:
Greetings Everybody,

I present to you a Challenge.

Structural biology would be far more powerful if we can get our models out of local minima, and together, I believe we can find a way to escape them.

tldr: I dare any one of you to build a model that scores better than my "best.pdb" model below. That is probably impossible, so I also dare you to approach or even match "best.pdb" by doing something more clever than just copying it. Difficulty levels range from 0 to 11. First one to match the best.pdb energy score an Rfree wins the challenge, and I'd like you to be on my paper. You have nine months.

Details of the challenge, scoring system, test data, and available starting points can be found here:
https://bl831.als.lbl.gov/~jamesh/challenge/twoconf/

Why am I doing this?
We all know that macromolecules adopt multiple conformations. That is how they function. And yet, ensemble refinement still has a hard time competing with conventional single-conformer-with-a-few-split-side-chain models when it comes to revealing correlated motions, or even just simultaneously satisfying density data and chemical restraints. That is, ensembles still suffer from the battle between R factors and geometry restraints. This is because the ensemble member chains cannot pass through each other, and get tangled. The tangling comes from the density, not the chemistry. Refinement in refmac, shelxl, phenix, simulated annealing, qFit, and even coot cannot untangle them.

The good news is: knowledge of chemistry, combined with R factors, appears to be a powerful indicator of how near a model is to being untangled. What is really exciting is that the genuine, underlying ensemble cannot be tangled. The true ensemble _defines_ the density; it is not being fit to it. The more untangled a model gets the closer it comes to the true ensemble, with deviations from reasonable chemistry becoming easier and easier to detect. In the end, when all alternative hypotheses have been eliminated, the model must match the truth.

Why can't we do this with real data? Because all ensemble models are tangled. Let's get to untangling them, shall we?

To demonstrate, I have created a series of examples that are progressively more difficult to solve, but the ground truth model and density is the same in all cases. Build the right model, and it will not only explain the data to within experimental error, and have the best possible validation stats, but it will reveal the true, underlying cooperative motion of the protein as well.

Unless, of course, you can prove me wrong?

-James Holton
MAD Scientist



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