Chris:
I like your use of the Churchill principle as applied to economics.
Think it ought to be added to my short essay somewhere.
 
BTW, there certainly are uses to econometric models and other
rational actor systems.  Depending on the day, I sometimes am a
fan of econometrics. Its just that no model of the economy based
on pure rationality can be taken as always true, and in cases
it may be false more often than not  --at least for limited periods 
of time or under certain types of circumstances
 
Billy
 
======================================
 
 
Billy, 
I like your  analysis.  Indeed, like democracy as a flawed form of 
government,  market-solution economics is a flawed economic system.  But the  
alternatives are worse.  Occasional disruptions are inevitable because of  the 
flaws, so our society must apply band aids and corrective  measures. 
Rational economics  based on mathematical models will always be imperfect 
because the models will  never be able to incorporate all of the human 
variables and "act of God"  variables, but I still think that economists should 
keep on trying to improve  their scientific approach.  When I was in business 
school in the late '70s  the Chase Econometric model was big… lots of fancy 
formulas.  But even at  the time I couldn't buy into the model because the 
variable inputs were so  limited. 
As it turned out, I got  to be a pretty good friend of the developer of the 
Chase Economic model, a  professor at Northwestern.  It was fun to talk 
with him about these  things.  Essentially, I would guess that he would more or 
less agree with  your thinking. 
Chris
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