Africa, Caribbean lead way in LDS growth
Peggy  Fletcher Stack ("The Salt Lake Tribune," April 15, 2010) 
Salt Lake City, USA - The LDS Church is growing fastest in Africa and the  
Caribbean, while the United States, Brazil and Mexico continue to add the 
most  new members. 
So say new 2009 statistics released by The Church of Jesus Christ of  
Latter-day Saints. 
Many significant developments for the Utah-based church are imbedded in the 
 numbers, said Matt Martinich, a Mormon researcher in South Korea who has 
been  tracking the faith's global efforts on his Web site 
ldschurchgrowth.blogspot.com  since 2006. He is working with Las Vegas 
physician David Stewart 
to produce a  comprehensive LDS almanac examining Mormon growth, as well as 
strengths and  challenges facing the faith in more than 150 countries. 
The church's U.S. growth is unsurprising, particularly in Western states 
such  as Utah, New Mexico and Colorado, considered part of the "Mormon 
Corridor." The  church counted 84,866 new U.S. members, including children and 
converts. Utah  alone added 26,710. 
What is new, Martinich said in an e-mail, is that the worldwide increase of 
 "children of record" (those born in the faith) in 2008 and 2009 -- around  
120,000 -- was the highest in nearly three decades, especially after a 
decade or  two of smaller spurts (usually around 80,000). This likely indicates 
that  "birthrates for LDS members in the U.S. may have increased and/or 
there are more  member families outside the United States." 
The total church membership climbed to 13,824,854, including 280,106  
converts. 
The statistics in Africa, home to half of the 20 fastest-growing countries 
in  Mormonism, Martinich said, suggest "impressive gains." 
The faith is attracting large numbers of converts in an area that had very  
few members in the recent past. Nigeria, which has had Mormon missionaries 
only  since 1978 (when the church ended its ban on blacks holding the 
priesthood), now  boasts more members than South Africa, where the 
American-born 
church was  established a century ago. 
Some of the spreading LDS imprint is Africa actually is underreported. For  
example, scores of unofficial congregations of unbaptized LDS followers 
have  sprouted in Sudan and Burundi. 
"These units do not meet qualifications set by the church to become  
independent branches," Martinich said. "They await the church's  
establishment." 
Still, the figures can be misleading. 
Among the 10 African nations with the fastest-growing Mormon memberships 
(by  percentage), only one -- the Democratic Republic of Congo -- has more 
than  10,000 Latter-day Saints. The others have such a high rates because they 
start  with so few members. 
But those small countries look like they will continue to build an LDS  
presence, said Stewart, who collects, organizes and analyzes Mormon statistics  
on his Web site, cumorah.com. 
Africa is a "key frontier for church growth," Stewart said. "The church is  
already doing better with retention [of converts] in Africa, particularly  
Central and West Africa, than it did in Latin America in the 1980s and  
1990s." 
Because Mormonism uses locals to staff its congregations, one way to 
measure  convert retention is to match the number of new members with the 
number 
of new  congregations created during the year. If there are a lot of new 
members  recorded but few new congregations, that may mean many of the converts 
are not  sticking around. 
In Nigeria last year, 7,158 newcomers were added to Mormon rolls and 29 LDS 
 congregations were formed. Compare that to Paraguay, which brought in 
7,000 to  8,000 new members but added only one congregation and no new stakes 
(a 
 collection of congregations). 
Stewart attributes much of the African success to "pre-baptismal 
preparation"  and an emphasis on training local missionaries. Potential members 
are 
expected  to attend at least two or three LDS services before baptism. Local 
members now  get involved early on in the welcoming process, rather than 
meeting the converts  for the first time at their baptism. 
Plus, many African countries such as the Democratic Republic of Congo have  
only indigenous Mormon missionaries, which has gone a long way toward 
"building  lasting communities of committed Saints from the inception," Stewart 
said. "A  focus on missionary service from the beginning, with the 
expectation of  self-sufficiency of local missions and congregations, bodes 
well for 
future  growth in Africa." 
Recent changes announced in LDS mission alignments reflect the latest 
growth  trends -- with the church adding missions in Africa, Latin America and 
the  western United States while pulling back a bit in Europe and Australia. 
Overall, the baptism rate jumped from 4.5 per missionary per year in the  
early 2000s to 5.4 in 2009, still well below the high of more than 8 baptisms 
 per missionary per year in the late 1980s. 
A baptism slowdown is not all that bad, Stewart said. The all-important  
number, though difficult to pin down, remains not how many join, but how many  
stay.
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