Well, in general the sample size for most national polls is roughly 1000
which translates out to 0.000008% of the actual voting population which was
roughly 115 Million. 

If the exit polls used a similar sample size, then I'm sorry, that just
doesn't pass any statistics standard I'm familiar with, and therefore we
shouldn't waste tax dollars investigating it.

Investigate real problems? YES
Fix real problems? YES
Waste time on non-existent problems? NO

In Kentucky where we have two time zones, election results that came out at
6:00 Eastern showed the democratic senate candidate had a pretty good margin
over the incumbent, however that was from the Eastern part of the state,
where the democrat is from, as the polls in the western part of the state
closed at 6:00 Central those results came in and changed the results. While
the Eastern part of the state voted mostly for the Democrat, the western
part went for the incumbent.

Now anybody that knows Kentucky Politics should have known that Mongiardo,
the Dem from Eastern Kentucky, is very well liked in the eastern and central
parts of the state, but out west he isn't. So we need to ensure that we have
exit polls in all areas of the state so we can get a good sample.

The same holds true in precincts around here, you can be in a Republican
area one second, then cross the street and be in Democrat land, same style
houses, same general way of live, all in all the Demographics are about the
same, Kentucky is 60% registered Democrat, but we always vote Republican in
elections for Federal Office. The only democrat we have in Congress has
voted with Bush on ever vote sense he got there.

My point in all this is simple. On paper the demographics can be very
simple, but when you use such small samples, and don't get in and really
understand the politics of small areas in these places you are going to get
stuff wrong, and that is what the Kerry exit polls did.

Their entire campaigned showed a general misunderstanding of the South and
the Midwest; they targeted the youth and the new voters, seemingly ignoring
the South and the Midwest, why I have no idea. Point the blame at voting
machines and dirty republicans and stupid Southerners and Midwesterners all
you want. But don't address the real problems of the democratic party.

There is no leader; there is no real platform, no issues that the party can
get behind. They seem indecisive, and out of touch. Reporters on the
campaign trail called the Kerry campaign one of the most disorganized things
they had ever seen.

So if you don't want to accept it, I guess I can't change that. I thought
that considering the popular vote the Election stealing wouldn't come around
this time, I thought that would really help the country, and while many may
not like Bush, they can still accept the basis of this Republic, and
understand that they need to work harder next time.

But it looks like I have given people too much credit.

Oh, and when did the President get the authority to fund or author
legislation? 

-----Original Message-----
From: Gruss Gott [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] 
Sent: Sunday, November 07, 2004 10:43 AM
To: CF-Community
Subject: Re: Voter Fraud? Why are the exit polls so wrong in Florida?

> Nick wrote:
> I think the real problem was bad exit poll locations,

The question isn't where were CNN's, the question is where where Mr.
Kerry's?  They're the ones showing the questionable data.

> I don't think it warrants tax dollars to investigate these issues.

What does warrant spending tax dollars?  A new children's rock-n-roll
museum like the one Mr. Bush funded in the Transportation bill?

If we're not going to spend tax money to ensure that we have fair
elections, why have a democracy?  Let's just flip a coin and say
that's good enough.



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