Whether or not you agree with Krauthammer, he has a very persuasive agrument 
about driving down U.S. demand for oil.


http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2005/11/10/AR2005111001502.html

Pump Some Seriousness Into Energy Policy

By Charles Krauthammer

Friday, November 11, 2005; Page A25

Thank God for $3.50 gasoline. True, we had it for only a brief, shining moment, 
and there is not much good to be said about the catastrophic hurricanes that 
caused it. But the price was already inexorably climbing as a result of 2.3 
billion Chinese and Indians industrializing. Their increased demand is what 
brought us to the energy knife's edge and makes us so acutely vulnerable to 
supply disruptions.

Yet, the Senate is attacking the problem by hauling oil executives to hearings 
on "price gouging." Even by Senate standards, the cynicism here is 
breathtaking. Everyone knows what the problem really is. It's Economics 101: 
increasing demand and precariously tight supply.
        

Yet for three decades we have done criminally little about it. Conservatives 
argued for more production, liberals argued for more conservation and each side 
blocked the other's remedies -- when even a child can see that we need both:

Demand . Just yesterday we were paying $3.50 a gallon at the pump and were 
ready to pay $4 or $5 if necessary. No blessing has ever come more disguised. 
Now that we have lived with $3.50 gasoline, $3 seems far less outrageous than, 
say, a year ago. We have a unique but fleeting opportunity to permanently 
depress demand by locking in higher gasoline prices. Put a floor at $3. Every 
penny that the price goes under $3 should be recaptured in a federal gas tax so 
that Americans pay $3 at the pump no matter how low the world price goes.

Why is this a good idea? It is the simplest way to induce conservation. People 
will alter their buying habits. It was the higher fuel prices of the 1970s and 
early '80s that led to more energy-efficient cars and appliances -- which 
induced such restraint on demand that the world price of oil ultimately fell 
through the floor. By 1986 oil was $11 a barrel. Then we got profligate and 
resumed our old habits, and oil is now around $60. Surprise.

The worst part is that much of this $60 goes overseas to foreigners who wish us 
no good: Wahhabi Saudi princes who subsidize terrorists; Hugo Chavez, the 
mini-Mussolini of the Southern Hemisphere; and (through the fungibility of oil) 
the nuclear-hungry, death-to-America Iranian mullahs. This is insanity. It 
makes infinitely more sense to reduce consumption, drive the world price down 
and let the premium we force ourselves to pay at the pump (which begins the 
conservation cycle) go to the U.S. Treasury. If the price drops to $2, plow 
that $1 tax right back into the American economy by immediately reducing, say, 
Social Security or income taxes.

The beauty of a tax that keeps gasoline at $3 is that it obviates the waste and 
folly of an army of bureaucrats telling auto companies what cars in which 
fleets need to meet what arbitrary standards of fuel efficiency. Abolish all 
the regulations and let the market decide. Consumers are not stupid. Within 
weeks of Hurricane Katrina, SUV sales were already in decline and hybrids were 
flying off the lots.

Supply . For decades we've been dithering over drilling in a tiny part of the 
Arctic National Wildlife Refuge. Look, I too love the caribou. They are sweet, 
picturesque and reputedly harmless. But dire predictions about the devastation 
that Prudhoe Bay oil development would visit upon the caribou proved false. 
They have thrived. Let's get serious. We live at the edge of oil shortages and 
in perpetual vulnerability to oil blackmail. We have soldiers dying in the oil 
fields of the Middle East, yet we leave untouched the largest untapped oil 
field in North America so that Lower-48ers can enjoy an image of pristine 
Arctic purity. This is an indulgence bordering on decadence.

As is our refusal to drill on the continental shelf. Offshore drilling 
technology is far safer and more efficient than it was decades ago, when this 
prohibition was passed. We're starving ourselves.

The same logic applies to refineries. We have not built one since 1976. 
Gasoline doesn't grow on trees. The U.S. refining industry operates at 96 
percent capacity. That is unsustainable. We need the equivalent of the military 
base closing commission, whereby outside experts decide which bases should be 
closed in the national interest. A refinery commission that would situate 15 
new refineries scattered throughout the United States (some perhaps on Army 
bases scheduled for closing) would spread the pain, depoliticize the process 
and arm us against future shortages.

With these simple steps, we could within a decade finally escape the oil noose. 
But don't hold your breath. The Senate just loved its little oil-executive 
inquisition. The House stripped out the ANWR drilling provision Wednesday 
night. And there is not a single national politician who dares propose raising 
gas taxes by even a penny. We are criminally unserious about energy 
independence, and we will pay the price.

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