That's a very unusual observation Larry.  Typically the West is very supportive 
of the Conservatives and the East is very supportive of the Liberals.  NDP 
smatters through the far West and far East coasts, though Conservatives have 
taken some of their power in the Maritimes... and the Bloc takes Quebec.  It's 
becoming very routine... as it's happened for the last 20 years.  

Liberals are in power in BC, Ontario

Conservatives are in power in Alberta, New Brunswick, Newfoundland, Nova 
Scotia, PEI

NDP are in power in Manitoba, Saskatchewan

Bloc is in power in Quebec.

Much like there being key states in the USA to determine an election... our 
elections are won with BC and Ontario.

The territories have been handled a bit differently in the past.

So while the Conservatives are losing some support, it wouldn't shock me to see 
much the same result in terms of seat spread with a slightly higher number 
going to the NDP.

One of the biggest platform items the Conservatives are running on is 
implementing a two-tiered healthcare system. Canadians are afraid of two-tiered 
healthcare.
We all recognize that medicare isn't working right now and that something needs 
to change, but until a detailed report on what it will -really- mean for the 
individual comes out, people will not vote in such a way that eliminates it.  
We're quick to say it's broken, but not as quick to let them take it away.

People love to get riled up, but overwhelmingly, people will vote for the devil 
they know over the devil they don't.

Depending on how closely you've been following the reason for the 
non-confidence vote, you would know it is in response to a scandal (don't you 
just love the idea of 'responsible government'?)... and Canadians have been 
easy to rally... and I'm betting that the Conservatives don't want to risk the 
idea that the second half of the report in February will not support their 
'Liberals Suck' mandate... but the reality is that Canada is largely made up of 
rural constituents... and it s a) damn hard to make it to the polls in the dead 
of January in MANY areas of Canada and b) damn hard to campaign over the 
holiday season.  It will piss people off.

The interesting democratic trend... is for the people who grumble and complain 
loudest are often the ones that don't bother voting.

My prediction: status quo.

>It depends on where you are. My friends in western Canada don't like
>any of party leaders but call Harper a Bush clone. Other friends in
>the east don't like the liberals but like the conservatives even less.
>
>So chances are its going to be more of the same - minority Liberal
>government. But this time the NDP probably will be sharing the
>opposition with the Bloc Quebecois. I expect the tories will be down
>to around 20 seats.
>
>larry
>
>On 11/28/05, Tony <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>>

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