The Democrats have a shot, but they have two big challenges:

1. Funding - The RNC has $30 million more than the DNC, and that money will
go directly into anti-Democrat attack ads in vulnerable Republican districts
in the Fall. The Dems need to be able to counter this wave of negative
advertising.

2. Message - The Dems say their message is 80% negative this year. Their
strategy is to pound Congress and the President for everything that has gone
wrong in the last two years. It plays well in the polls, but will it amount
to big gains at the ballot box? I don't know. I still think people are
waiting for the Democrats to actually propose something, anything resembling
and alternative to Republican policies. Some Democrats want to push a plan,
but the leadership (Harry Reid and Nancy Pelosi) has other ideas. They think
they can win with a purely negative, anti-incumbent message.

We're 10 weeks from election day. A lot can change in 10 weeks, and it only
takes a small change in the mood of the country to tip the balance back to
Republicans. Due to the re-districting efforts of the last several years,
Republicans don't have to be wildly popular to maintain control of Congress.
They just need to be marginally more popular than Democrats in a handful of
competitive districts.


On 8/30/06, Loathe  wrote:
>
> I honestly hope they do take control, I'm just not too sure it's going to
> happen.  I think that while this falls election will be important, it
> won't
> be nearly as important as the one two years from now.
>
>
-- 
---------------
Robert Munn
www.funkymojo.com


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