> RoMunn wrote:
> Wrong. Iraq has scared the crap out of the Iranians and forced them to do
> something to try to counter us. The mullas know that if democracy is
> successful in Iraq their regime's days are numbered.
>

Naw, I'm disagreeing.  Iraq and Iran were competing adversaries for
control (mental and physical) of the region.  Iraq was the dictatorial
component and Iran the religious.

The US policy, as spawned by the no-nation-building
Rummy-can-cut-2-Army-divisions pre9/11 theory, and inspired on by
Chalabi and Bush's Faith-based view post 9/11 theory, was that we
could kill 2 birds with one very very small US military stone.

Airpower was where we needed the money said Rummy, not troops (thus
the desire to cut 2 divisions).  That was right for blowing stuff up.
The wrong part was the belief that you also don't need troops once you
blow up a country (thus Bush's no-nation-building campaign).

That's where Chalabi came in.  We blow up Iraq, are greeted as
liberators, send in Chalabi who's already got a government set up and
can take care of rebuilding, while the US and its contractors reap the
profits.  Remember the "everybody out"  Then Iran falls as their
natural adversary pressures their people to "catch up".

That was the plan.

The reality is that we removed Iran's natural adversary and installed
ourselves.  In doing so we've revealed our military weaknesses and
alienated our allies.

Further we've emboldened "the mullahs" who don't fear democracy one
bit.  They could care less because they know if they have a nuke that
a.) they can push the US and Israel out, and B.) that they can conquer
any country they need to.

The net net is this: when we invaded Iraq we pulled the fear of
military action off the table and Iran knows it.

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