More geek moments. Dana is right. Casinos make money on very, very small
margins (51% chance of the house winning at blackjack, is that right?) Each
hand, each throw, each spin is a separate event and the house makes money on
volume.

Further geek moment learned at MAX- the dealers want you to win. The only
way they get paid more than minimum wage is for people to win and give them
tips.

On 11/10/06, Dana  wrote:
>
> No! Every throw is a separate event independent of previous events. Odds
> are always 50-50 (assuming a fair throw).
>
> You are using the formula for a sequence, the odds say off getting
> ttttttth.
>
> >> Dana wrote:
> >> negative, your odds do not improve if you stay at the table.
> >
> >Correct, they do not improve.  They decrease as it's a function of sample
> size.
> >
> >For example, the probability of flipping a coin once and having it
> >come up heads is 1 in 2.  The probability of 5 heads in a row  is 1 in
> >32.  10 heads in a row is about 1 in thousand.
> >
> >So the probability of "winning", given that winning is heads,
> >decreases as you stay at the table.
>
>


-- 
---------------
Robert Munn
www.funkymojo.com


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