dude, you are so wrong. what is the desired result? not getting shot or blown up in combat? by your calculations, every US service member would be dead or injured by now, and that defies not just common sense, by reality.
On 11/11/06, Gruss Gott <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > > Dana wrote: > > still not, because whether someone shoots and hits is an entirely > > separate issue > > LOL, take it to your math lab. I'm right. > > The 50% number is only for analogy because it's supposed to be easy > for someone to understand the difference between the probability of > flipping a coin and getting a desired result *once* versus getting the > desired result *many times in row*. > > Apparently not. > > I think where you're getting stuck is that you want to think combat > like a coin toss. The difference is that when you lose a coin toss, > you flip again (your 50%). But when you get hit in combat you can > die. No more flips. So the calculation must be *in a row*. Multiple > events. Not a single event. > > (1024, btw. I did the calculation for you about 5 times. Now it's 6.).5 > -- --------------- Robert Munn www.funkymojo.com ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~| Introducing the Fusion Authority Quarterly Update. 80 pages of hard-hitting, up-to-date ColdFusion information by your peers, delivered to your door four times a year. http://www.fusionauthority.com/quarterly Archive: http://www.houseoffusion.com/groups/CF-Community/message.cfm/messageid:220428 Subscription: http://www.houseoffusion.com/groups/CF-Community/subscribe.cfm Unsubscribe: http://www.houseoffusion.com/cf_lists/unsubscribe.cfm?user=89.70.5
