Bill Clinton's AMT Bomb
February 23, 2007; Page A10
WALL STREET JOURNAL

As tax season nears, Democrats in Congress are discovering they have
an urgent political bomb to defuse -- the alternative minimum tax. The
AMT already hits four million Americans, and without new legislation
this year it will explode in the pocketbooks of 23 million taxpayers
come April 15, 2008.

What's amazing is that many Democrats and reporters are trying to
blame this looming tax increase on the 2001-2003 tax cuts. See if you
can follow their argument: Taxpayers are obliged to pay the higher of
their tax bill under either the regular IRS code or the AMT. And
because the tax cuts reduced the regular income tax of the average
family by $2,000 a year, more middle-class families are being bounced
to the AMT system. Ergo, it's all President Bush's fault.

This logic requires overlooking that a taxpayer's bill under the AMT
is still lower than it would have been without the tax cuts. But never
mind: The political game here is to use the AMT as an excuse to
justify repealing the Bush tax cuts.

In reality, the AMT is one more liberal monster that was created in
the name of soaking the rich but has now come back to swallow the
middle class. Democrats created the AMT in 1969, amid a political
frenzy to capture a mere 21 millionaires who had paid nothing. And the
politician most responsible for the AMT's relentless expansion in
recent years is none other than William Jefferson Clinton.

Remember the 1993 tax hike that was supposed to fall only on the rich?
In addition to raising gas taxes and Medicare payroll taxes and income
tax rates, the Democratic Congress that year also raised the AMT: from
a 24% flat rate to a dual tax rate of 26% on AMT income up to $175,000
and 28% on AMT income above that amount.

It's true that the 1993 bill slightly increased the AMT's family
income exemption, but Democrats refused to index those exemptions for
inflation. So the combination of the higher rates and the failure to
index for inflation has caught more and more middle-class taxpayers in
the AMT's maw. From 1992 to 2002, this Clinton stealth tax hike
increased sixfold the number of filers paying the AMT, to nearly two
million from 300,000.

A Joint Tax Committee (JTC) analysis requested last year by Senator
Charles Grassley of Iowa shows that about 11 million more Americans
will have to pay the AMT next year thanks to the higher post-1993 AMT
rates. The House Ways and Means Committee calculates that if you live
in a high-tax state (such as California or New York) and have two or
more kids, you're very likely to be hit with the AMT this year even if
your income is as low as $75,000.

All of which means that if Democrats really want to spare Joe
Lunchbucket from the AMT, the cleanest solution is to repeal the
Clinton AMT rate hikes. The nearby chart, prepared by the American
Shareholders Association based on Joint Tax data, compares the number
of filers who will be hit by the AMT under current law and what would
happen if the AMT rate was moved back to the pre-Clinton 24% and the
exemption was indexed for inflation at the 2005 level of $40,250
($58,000 for a joint return). Going back to the pre-Clinton rates
would leave only about 2.6 million tax filers subject to an AMT
penalty next year instead of 23 million under current law.

The estimated "cost" of this fix to the Treasury over 10 years would
be some $632 billion, which is money Democrats in Congress would
prefer to spend. But as Senator Grassley notes: "This tax was never
meant to tax the middle class, so why should we count it as a revenue
loss when we make sure they don't have to pay it?"

There's a larger policy lesson to keep in mind as the debate unfolds
over both the AMT and the looming expiration of the Bush tax cuts in
2010: Beware politicians who say they only want to tax the rich.
Sooner or later their tax schemes will soak the middle class because
that's where the real money is. Regarding the AMT, Democrats are now
saying they'll be glad to provide AMT relief for the middle class but
they'll have to raise taxes on CEOs and other high-income Americans to
do it. Where have we heard that one before?

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