Maybe he knows something the Republicans ought to know.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/09/14/AR2007091402451.html?hpid=topnews


Greenspan Is Critical Of Bush in Memoir
Former Fed Chairman Has Praise for Clinton

By Bob Woodward
Washington Post Staff Writer
Saturday, September 15, 2007; A01

Alan Greenspan, who served as Federal Reserve chairman for 18 years and was the 
leading Republican economist for the past three decades, levels unusually harsh 
criticism at President Bush and the Republican Party in his new book, arguing 
that Bush abandoned the central conservative principle of fiscal restraint.

While condemning Democrats, too, for rampant federal spending, he offers Bill 
Clinton an exemption. The former president emerges as the political hero of 
"The Age of Turbulence: Adventures in a New World," Greenspan's 531-page 
memoir, which is being published Monday.

Greenspan, who had an eight-year alliance with Clinton and Democratic Treasury 
secretaries in the 1990s, praises Clinton's mind and his tough anti-deficit 
policies, calling the former president's 1993 economic plan "an act of 
political courage."

But he expresses deep disappointment with Bush. "My biggest frustration 
remained the president's unwillingness to wield his veto against out-of-control 
spending," Greenspan writes. "Not exercising the veto power became a hallmark 
of the Bush presidency. . . . To my mind, Bush's collaborate-don't-confront 
approach was a major mistake."

Greenspan accuses the Republicans who presided over the party's majority in the 
House until last year of being too eager to tolerate excessive federal spending 
in exchange for political opportunity. The Republicans, he says, deserved to 
lose control of the Senate and House in last year's elections. "The Republicans 
in Congress lost their way," Greenspan writes. "They swapped principle for 
power. They ended up with neither."

He singles out J. Dennis Hastert, the Illinois Republican who was House speaker 
until January, and Tom DeLay, the Texan who was majority leader until he 
resigned after being indicted for violating campaign finance laws in his home 
state.

"House Speaker Hastert and House majority leader Tom DeLay seemed readily 
inclined to loosen the federal purse strings any time it might help add a few 
more seats to the Republican majority," he writes.

He adds three pages later: "I don't think the Democrats won. It was the 
Republicans who lost. The Democrats came to power in the Congress because they 
were the only party left standing."

Greenspan, 81, indirectly criticizes his friend and colleague from the Ford 
administration, Vice President Cheney. Former Bush Treasury Secretary Paul H. 
O'Neill has quoted Cheney as once saying, "Reagan proved deficits don't matter."

Greenspan says, " 'Deficits don't matter,' to my chagrin became part of the 
Republicans' rhetoric."

He argues that "deficits must matter" and that uncontrolled government spending 
and borrowing can produce high inflation "and economic devastation."

When Bush and Cheney won the 2000 election, Greenspan writes, "I thought we had 
a golden opportunity to advance the ideals of effective, fiscally conservative 
government and free markets. . . . I was soon to see my old friends veer off to 
unexpected directions."

He says, "Little value was placed on rigorous economic policy debate or the 
weighing of long-term consequences." The large, anticipated federal budget 
surpluses that were the basis for Bush's initial $1.35 trillion tax cut "were 
gone six to nine months after George W. Bush took office." So Bush's goals 
"were no longer entirely appropriate. He continued to pursue his presidential 
campaign promises nonetheless."

Greenspan was intensely criticized for endorsing a large tax cut in 2001 in 
congressional testimony during the first weeks of the Bush administration. He 
notes that he was recommending any tax cut, even a smaller one proposed by some 
Democrats. But he acknowledges that those who had warned him about the 
perception he was backing Bush's plan were right. "The tax-cut testimony proved 
to be politically explosive," he writes.

Yet, he adds: "While politics had not been my intent, I'd misjudged the 
emotions of the moment. . . . Yet I'd have given the same testimony if Al Gore 
had been president."

By the end of last year, Greenspan writes with some bitterness, Washington was 
"harboring a dysfunctional government. . . . Governance has become dangerously 
dysfunctional."

However, he calls Clinton a "risk taker" who had shown a "preference for 
dealing in facts," and presents Clinton and himself almost as soul mates. "Here 
was a fellow information hound. . . . We both read books and were curious and 
thoughtful about the world. . . . I never ceased to be surprised by his 
fascination with economic detail: the effect of Canadian lumber on housing 
prices and inflation. . . . He had an eye for the big picture too."

During Clinton's first weeks as president, Greenspan went to the Oval Office 
and explained the danger of not confronting the federal deficit. Unless the 
deficits were cut, there could be "a financial crisis," Greenspan told the 
president. "The hard truth was that Reagan had borrowed from Clinton, and 
Clinton was having to pay it back. I was impressed that he did not seem to be 
trying to fudge reality to the extent politicians ordinarily do. He was forcing 
himself to live in the real world."

Dealing with a budget surplus in his second term, Clinton proposed devoting the 
extra money to "save Social Security first." Greenspan writes, "I played no 
role in finding the answer, but I had to admire the one Clinton and his 
policymakers came up with."

Greenspan interviewed Clinton for the book and clearly admires him. "President 
Clinton's old-fashioned attitude toward debt might have had a more lasting 
effect on the nation's priorities. Instead, his influence was diluted by the 
uproar about Monica Lewinsky." When he first heard and read details of the 
Clinton-Lewinsky encounters, Greenspan writes, "I was incredulous. 'There is no 
way these stories could be correct,' I told my friends. 'No way.' " Later, when 
it was verified, Greenspan says, "I wondered how the president could take such 
a risk. It seemed so alien to the Bill Clinton I knew, and made me feel 
disappointed and sad."

Known for his restrained if not incomprehensible public statements over the 
past several decades, Greenspan's direct criticism of Bush and his economic 
policies comes as the economy is emerging as an issue in the 2008 presidential 
race. And the man Greenspan praises so highly for fiscal probity is married to 
the current front-runner for the Democratic nomination, Sen. Hillary Rodham 
Clinton of New York.

The politically charged observations are scattered through the first half of 
the book, in which Greenspan offers a standard memoir covering his birth in the 
Washington Heights neighborhood of New York City in 1926 through his years as 
Fed chairman, from when he was appointed in 1987 by President Ronald Reagan to 
his retirement in 2006. His theme is the unequaled power of free-market 
capitalism; Greenspan calls himself a "libertarian Republican."

The second half offers a graduate education in global economics that is at 
times lucid and at times dense. Greenspan occasionally slips into his 
notoriously complicated Fedspeak, touring the world with detailed analysis of 
the global economy and the prospects in Japan, Britain, France, China, Russia, 
India and just about everywhere else.

He clearly considers China the big economic question of the future. "I have no 
doubt that the Communist Party of China can maintain an authoritarian, 
quasi-capitalist, relatively prosperous regime for a time. But without the 
political safety valve of the democratic process, I doubt the long-term success 
of such a regime," he writes.

"The Age of Turbulence" is likely to be mined word by word on Wall Street, 
where the Masters of the Universe will seek clues to how to make billions. 
Greenspan dives deep into his economic data, his experiences, his philosophy 
and meetings with world political and economic leaders.

He explains how an advanced economy hinges on property rights, the rule of law, 
a culture of trust, contracts, debt, reputation, self-interest and "creative 
destruction" -- the scrapping of old technologies and processes.

He argues, for example, that the loss of manufacturing jobs in the United 
States -- from the steel, automobile and textile industries to computers and 
telecommunications -- "is a plus, not a minus, to the American standard of 
living." He maintains that immigration reform, "by opening up the United States 
to the world's very large and growing pool of skilled workers," will help 
reduce the inequality of incomes.

Without elaborating, he writes, "I am saddened that it is politically 
inconvenient to acknowledge what everyone knows: the Iraq war is largely about 
oil."

Looking ahead to 2030, he predicts that the U.S. gross domestic product will be 
75 percent larger than it is now. His most dire forecast is that if the Federal 
Reserve is prevented from constraining inflation, the 10-year Treasury note 
would be "flirting with a double-digit yield sometime before 2030, compared 
with under 5 percent in 2006."

Greenspan has nothing but praise for hedge funds, which he describes as "a 
vibrant trillion-dollar industry dominated by U.S. firms." He claims that hedge 
funds help eliminate inefficiency in the markets. "They are essentially free of 
government regulation, and I hope they will remain so." He scoffs at proposals 
to regulate them, declaring, "Why do we wish to inhibit the pollinating bees of 
Wall Street?"

For all his wonkish ways, Greenspan writes with delight about his marriage to 
journalist Andrea Mitchell and their travels, friends and mutual love of 
classical music. He knows how to enjoy a good Vivaldi cello concerto in Venice.

Though cautious about the coming decades, Greenspan ultimately shows a flash of 
hope at the end of his memoir. "Adaptation is in our nature," he writes, "a 
fact that leads me to be deeply optimistic about our future."

Brady Dennis and Evelyn Duffy contributed to this report.

EDITOR'S NOTE: Bob Woodward, an assistant managing editor of The Washington 
Post, is author of "Maestro: Greenspan's Fed and the American Boom," published 
in 2000. In his book, Greenspan acknowledges that in writing "The Age of 
Turbulence," he used interviews he had given Woodward. 

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