Dude, come on, you are way more cynical than that. ;-)

The next election will be about the same thing as the last election-
convincing 50.1% of the voters in enough states to carry the Electoral
College that the candidate in question will give those voters more than they
take away- be it money, values, or whatever. Hillary is statistically
unelectable on thing single point. Her negatives are really high, and she
hasn't even been touched by the Republicans. She is going to get smoked like
a Virginia ham once the primaries are over. Even if 95% of Democratic voters
love her, she'll still go down in flames because men and Republicans hate
her.

Hillary is the most competent of all the Democratic challengers. It's not
even a contest. And she'll still get smoked.

Obama is too young and too liberal to win a national election. My wife (who
is voting for Hillary) thinks Obama needs a few years in the Senate to get
some experience under his belt. Maybe he can be the candidate in 2012!

Edwards is a smooth-talking pretty boy with the depth of the kiddie pool at
the local YMCA, and that's where he should stay because he'll get pummeled
on the national stage. Remember how the Democrats so successfully pummeled
the President with the "Mission Accomplished" thing? (Of course you do!).
The Republicans would pummel Edwards endlessly with a snapshot of him with a
"Two Americas" banner overlaid against that great aerial shot of his zillion
dollar mansion. Yeah, Edwards knows there are two Americas, and guess which
one he is part of!

Basically, the current Democratic field has no hope of beating the
Republican contender, barring a major disaster in Iraq, a punishing war with
Iran, or a total economic meltdown in the next nine months. All of those
things are possibilities, of course, so Democrats just need to decide which
disaster scenario they want to hope for.

BTW, not to pick a fight, but I think winning Congress in 2006 may have been
the biggest disaster to befall the Democratic Party since Jimmy Carter. They
could have stayed in the minority for another two years and under the right
conditions I think they might have swept the Presidency, the House, and even
a 60 vote majority in the Senate. As it stands, they are looking ineffectual
and peevish on a daily basis. They keep trying to beat the hell out of the
President in the political arena, but the President doesn't give a crap
because he isn't running again. They tried everything they could to find
something to impeach him on and they came up with zilch. They need to stop
fighting yesterday's battles.

You know what the Democrats in Congress should do? It goes against
everything the base wants, but it's the only thing that will save them. They
need to get behind the President's Iraq policy, and even more, they need to
take the lead at pushing for political reconciliation among the Iraqis. They
have access to the very best legislative experts in the world, tons of
money, and all the knowledge of deal-making to help the Iraqis understand
how to reach some compromises. If they did that and were successful at it,
they could take all the credit and make a huge statement about how they
succeeded where the Repbulicans and the President spent four years failing.
It would be the biggest political coup in modern American history. And they
could do it all with the understanding that they want to end the war ASAP,
and winning the peace is the best way to do that.


On 9/24/07, Gruss  wrote:
>
>
> Without a doubt.  The next election will be about competence.
>


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