This makes it sound like Clinton has a good chance of getting the
nomination. Obama still has the same lead over Clinton in terms of delegates
and it's delegates that make the nomination, not the number of states.
Hillary's win in Ohio and Texas serves only to keep her in the race.

Democrats have not fundamentally changed since the 2004 election in which
they chose John Kerry because he was not unelectable (think Howard Dean). I
believe that Obama will get the nomination for the same reason.

I do agree that if Hillary manages to steal the nomination that she'll be
soundly defeated by McCain in the general election.


-----Original Message-----
From: Gruss Gott [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] 
Sent: Wednesday, March 05, 2008 11:54 AM
To: CF-Community
Subject: Why Hillary's Win is Bad News For Dems


Clinton's done McCain the favor of cutting his best general election
campaign spot for him. All he has to do is cut her answering the phone out
of the last 5 seconds of the ad and splice his own mug in there instead. If
Clinton succeeds in making what's politely called the "national security
issue" the center of the campaign by arguing she's a safer choice than
Obama, then why wouldn't McCain argue that he's even better than she?
McCain's already begun that effort. If Hillary's nominated, he'll most
likely succeed.

For two or three days, the Clinton campaign will spin itself -and the
media--silly, breathlessly celebrating her overwhelming victories in Rhode
Island and Ohio and her squeaker in Texas.

After the confetti is swept and the champagne bottles are tossed a more
sober reality will take hold. Not just that her net gain of delegates this
week will be, at most, in the single digits. But worse. There is no
plausible scenario in which Clinton can win the nomination. At least not
democratically.

Who am I to predict that the Democrats are too smart to self-destruct in
what should be, by all other measures, a watershed year? The more
steely-eyed amongst us, then, would do well to psychologically prepare for
the nomination going, somehow or another, to Hillary Clinton. Which means,
in turn, that Democrats ought to simultaneously prepare to be beaten by John
McCain.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/marc-cooper/its-3-am-and-hillarys_b_89936.html



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