Why haven't you sold all of your liquid assets for hard assets, and moved
out to a cabin in the mountains of Montana yet?

You can sit in a rocking chair, holding a shotgun, clutching bags of cold,
hard cash, muttering about the end of the world.

Just make sure you keep an internet connection, so I can keep receiving
these awesome end of the world scenarios...they brighten my mornings :)

On Tue, Jul 22, 2008 at 10:35 AM, Gruss Gott <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:

> So here's how you can play at home - follow along with what's
> happening daily.  Here's the depression scenario:
>
> (1.) The collapse of bond insurers (MBIA, Ambac, FGIC and others).
> They have guaranteed billions in collateralized debt obligations
> (CDOs) which are becoming worthless.
>
> (2.) The banks that paid them for protection against default on their
> CDOs and face more writedowns (Merrill, Citi and others) -- maybe $1
> trillion in the whole system. A big bank might go under.
>
> (3.) Writedowns will move from subprime mortgages to near-prime, to
> prime mortgages, to commercial real estate, to auto loans, to credit
> cards, to corporate buyout loans, to corporate bonds and derivatives.
>
> (4.) Lenders would then have to pull back on ~$2 trillion in lending,
> according to a Goldman Sachs analysis.
>
> (5.) Financial losses spread to other world capital markets,
> especially Europe. Credit spreads will keep widening. Equities,
> housing, commodities, emerging market assets and the dollar will get
> hurt.
>
> (6.) Home prices, down 8% currently, could fall by 20% to 30% total
> before bottoming.
>
> (7.) Large recession or depression ensues, probably globally.  Cash is
> king.
>
> 

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