This really looks like progress to me.

http://www.armytimes.com/news/2008/10/gns_iraqcasualties_103108/


BAGHDAD — October could be the first month of the Iraq war when no U.S.
service members will have died in combat in Baghdad.

As of Thursday, the Pentagon had reported 13 U.S. troops killed in combat
and non-combat incidents this month in Iraq. If the number holds, it would
tie July for the lowest monthly U.S. death toll of the 5-year-old war.

Security has improved in the Iraqi capital and elsewhere thanks to truces by
sectarian militias, more effective U.S. counterinsurgency strategies, and a
dramatic increase in the size and effectiveness of Iraqi forces.

Militant groups such as al-Qaida have shifted their base to Afghanistan,
where U.S. fatalities in October were higher than those in Iraq for the
second consecutive month.

"What you're seeing is a migration of the extremists from one area to the
other," said Navy Capt. Jack Hanzlik, a spokesman for the U.S. military's
Central Command, which is responsible for both Iraq and Afghanistan.
"They're not having the success that they had in Iraq, and they're looking
for other places to go."

Fifteen U.S. troops had died in Afghanistan in October, as of Thursday, all
from enemy fire. There are about one-third as many U.S. troops in
Afghanistan as in Iraq.

"The main U.S. effort has been in Iraq, and in Afghanistan, we've been
trying to tread water and buy time until we have the resources to devote
there," said Nathan Fick, a retired Marine officer and a fellow at the
Center for a New American Security.

The U.S. will start shifting resources next month when 2,000 Marines
originally set to deploy to Iraq will be sent to Afghanistan. In January,
the Army will reroute 3,700 soldiers to Afghanistan



Also I read that Iraq wants us out of here by 2011. Not sure if that can
actually happen, but the way things are going, we can surely expect dramatic
reductions in US forces in Iraq soon.  And even though the commanders in
Afghanistan are wanting 20,000 more service members there, that is only
about a division, which means that even if they increase the numbers in
Afghanistan, and decrease the numbers in Iraq, we are still looking at fewer
deployments.



Bruce


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