> RoMunn wrote: > > What do you think would happen if the sun provided the earth with 2% more or > less total radiation than it does today? The planet would be a furnace or a > ball of ice, and there is absolutely nothing we could do about it. >
The thing I find surprising is that someone would be so bold as to try to predict something like this. The correct answer is Scotts: we don't know, we need to know more, if we're going to spend money on something it should be that, but it needs to be well throught through. Statistically, the question is are we in "common cause" temperature variation or "special cause" variation. The unfortunate part of this type of analysis is that you typically don't know you're in special-cause until things break. The financial crisis is a great example of this. Leverage and swaps were rising exponentially but the Bush administration amongst most others poo-pooed the idea that anything was wrong until the shit hit the fan. In this case we simply cannot afford to wait. Thus we need to begin extensive research immediately on the order of, say, $100 billion. If what Ian says is true, we have some pretty good evidence we're in special-cause which means the entire globe better start spending shit-tons of money. But let's confirm that. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~| Adobe® ColdFusion® 8 software 8 is the most important and dramatic release to date Get the Free Trial http://ad.doubleclick.net/clk;207172674;29440083;f Archive: http://www.houseoffusion.com/groups/cf-community/message.cfm/messageid:294010 Subscription: http://www.houseoffusion.com/groups/cf-community/subscribe.cfm Unsubscribe: http://www.houseoffusion.com/cf_lists/unsubscribe.cfm?user=11502.10531.5
