>From now on, we're just going to cut out the middle man and let the
judicial branch decide elections:
-----------

Al Franken's lead has increased from the 225 he had going into today,
up to 312 votes out of roughly 2.9 million. We still need to wait for
the judges to rule on the remaining issues, but the vote-counting
during the election contest-proper is done.

The only way for Coleman to overcome this lead would be to win an
appeal against the election court's prior rulings in favor of strict
standards to let in new ballots, or to somehow win his much more
far-fetched proposal to retroactively declare a number of absentee
votes illegal and deduct them from the totals based on countywide
averages. The first one is more likely in terms of feasibility, and
even that's a long shot, leaving the Coleman camp at their other
proposal to "set aside" the election result entirely.

So at this point Coleman is left to appeal to get more votes put in
from his campaign's list, under more lenient standards and a lower
burden of proof -- the court rejected many of his submissions on the
grounds that his legal team had failed to provide sufficient evidence
-- and to prevent Franken from succeeding at this same game.

But other potential avenues of appeal -- the missing 133 ballots from
the recount, which gave Franken a net +46 from the Election Night
returns, or Coleman's claim that Franken gained about 100 votes from
accidental double-counting of absentee ballots -- simply aren't
enough, and they weren't enough before today, either.

For now, Franken won't be able to get a certificate of election. The
court has to hand down a ruling, perhaps in the next week or two,
declaring a winner in the race. And then a certificate can't be issued
until at least after the state Supreme Court rules on the likely
appeal. And then the question becomes whether GOP Gov. Tim Pawlenty
will issue a certificate, whether the state Supremes will order it, or
a federal court would issue an injunction against it, etc.

Whatever form Coleman's litigation takes from here, expect the appeal
to happen in some form in state and/or federal courts, and for the
Senate GOP to fight any effort by Franken to be seated.

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