On Thu, Oct 7, 2010 at 3:02 PM, Robert Munn <[email protected]> wrote:
>
> On Thu, Oct 7, 2010 at 2:53 PM, Judah McAuley <[email protected]> wrote:
>
>> Out of curiosity, what's your prediction? I think that the Dems hold
>> the Senate with at least 52 seats. The House is a bit of a toss up. I
>> could see it going either way at this point but wouldn't be surprised
>> if the Republicans take it.
>
> Republicans are going to pick up at least 50 seats in the House. There
> are enough competitive districts that a 70 seat pickup is not out of
> the question. Dick Morris has created a national PAC with a goal of
> 100 seats. I don't see that happening, but it's an indication of where
> things are headed. There is blood in the water.
>
> The Senate is going to be close. O'Donnell's primary victory in
> Delaware probably saved the Senate for Democrats, but things are so
> ugly that even the Senate could go Republican.

I don't think that there will be a huge swing one way or another and
the primary reason for that is that for all the horrid state of the
economy which should strongly punish the party in power, the
Republicans still poll really really awfully. They don't have a
positive message and they aren't bringing home a bunch of races that
they really ought to be. I'll be curious to see how it goes. The
generic ballot has been closing and going in the Dems direction for
several weeks now. There are four weeks left to the election and I
think it will depend on who stays home and who goes out to vote.
Interesting for sure.

Judah

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