Paul has done well in straw polls in every campaign he's run in. He's
got a good, dedicated, core group of true believers. The problem for
him is that that core seems to be of a pretty fixed size and he hasn't
been able to translate beyond that. Not quite Lydon Larouche but at
this point, the Paul true believers seem to have settled themselves
into a fervent but definitely non-mainstream minority group.

I'd love for him to get the Republican nomination, really, I think it
would make for a much more interesting general election dynamic. I
just don't see it though, there hasn't been any indication that Paul
has built any momentum on his previous runs. Seems like the people
he's going to be able to convince are the ones he already has
convinced and that isn't a recipe for winning.

Judah

On Sun, Sep 18, 2011 at 3:06 PM, Robert Munn <[email protected]> wrote:
>
> It shows whose base is most motivated and organized at this point. Paul is
> pulling huge support from active duty military and small government
> conservatives. He's still a dark horse to get the nomination, but it has to
> be worrying for Perry and Romney that Paul is going toe to toe with them and
> thriving, even when he gets shorted for time at the debates. The core of the
> Republican Party is clearly moving back to its roots.
>
> On Sun, Sep 18, 2011 at 2:29 PM, C. Hatton Humphrey 
> <[email protected]>wrote:
>
>>
>> With only 833 people voting, I can't see that as a real result. Especially
>> not in a state as large as California!
>>
>
>
> 

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