what not really -- the meaning of standard deviations? If so yeah you are
right, I think but what Maureen and  I said is an .... ok 10 words or less
version.

In this case p=0.011 so theoretically if they did everything else right,
these results should replicate 99% of the time. And not, 1%.

I realize that's it's not a given that the 1% is random or that it won't
occur the next time you repeat the experiment, but I think that is a rather
fine distinction for our purposes. Kinda like the difference between
Springfield and Tyson's Corner, as seen from California, yanno? If I don't
have that right then fine, tell me,  but if you're going to crank up your
statistical powers I'd rather hear an explanation of that leave one out
thing they did a thousand times, because that part I do not understand at
ALL.

On Wed, Feb 15, 2012 at 6:21 PM, Larry C. Lyons <[email protected]>wrote:

>
> Not really. It depends on the stats that are used. When looking at
> statistical results, the way to interpret statistical significance is as
> follows. Let's say the researchers found the two groups showed a
> significant difference of p &lt; 0.05 . This means that if you replicated
> the study an infinite number of times, 95% of these results would fall very
> close to the difference found in the first study. How meaningful that
> spread is depends on the standard error of the studies, and other factors.
>  It also mean that in order to show a significant difference with a smaller
> sample you'd need a much larger difference to achieve statistical
> significance.
>
> So you can make very accurate predictions based on fairly small samples. It
> all depends on the statistical power of your experiment. I'm too burned out
> to really discuss it now, but if interested Wikipedia has a pretty good
> explanation of it   - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statistical_power
>
> On Wednesday, February 15, 2012, LRS Scout <[email protected]> wrote:
> >
> > The sampling of 90 people is really really small.
> >
> > On Wed, Feb 15, 2012 at 7:29 PM, Dana <[email protected]> wrote:
> >
> >>
> >> feel free to run away, Sam, but you still haven't showed me any basis at
> >> all for the crap you've been talking.
> >>
> >> On Wed, Feb 15, 2012 at 4:18 PM, Sam <[email protected]> wrote:
> >>
> >> >
> >> > I give up and feel the fool for not heeding this advice sooner:
> >> >
> >> > Don’t argue with idiots. They drag you down to their level and beat
> >> > you with experience
> >> >
> >> > .
> >> >
> >> > On Wed, Feb 15, 2012 at 7:07 PM, Dana <[email protected]> wrote:
> >> > >
> >> > >>
> >> > >> Yes it is. It's the same study done three times. Two people, 90
> people
> >> > >> and 28 people.
> >> > >>
> >> > >
> >> > > Ah, here's the heart of the problem. No, Sam, it isn't. It's -- I'd
> >> call
> >> > it
> >> > > two studies and an experiment I guess -- that tested the same
> >> hypothesis.
> >> > > According to your nomenclature here, all trials for the same drug
> are a
> >> > > single study. And mutually responsible for one another's
> methodology.
> >> > And,
> >> > > according to you, everything anyone remotely affiliated with them
> may
> >> > have
> >> > > said in an interview...
> >> > >
> >> > >
> >> > >> PURE BS!
> >> > >> If a scientist ever made nickle form an oil company everything they
> >> > >> ever say for the rest of their lives is bunk in your mind.
> >> > >>
> >> > >
> >> > > I don't recall ever saying this...  I'd get into what I might have
> said
> >> > if
> >> > > I had participated in whatever thread you are talking about, but
> let's
> >> > cut
> >> > > to the chase. You have no clue.  You just know you don't like it. I
> >> > suppose
> >> > > you're entitled to this position, but don't ask me to take it (or
> you)
> >> > > seriously at this point.
> >> > >
> >> > > NOW, you say the science is sound even though you know it was the
> >> > >> equivalent of Bill Maher saying if you don't agree you're inferior.
> >> > >
> >> > >
> >> > > Whatever, dude, you're still talking about something that's
> completely
> >> > > beside the point. Concentrate on Larry's journal article. What is
> wrong
> >> > > with the science?
> >> > >
> >> > >
> >> > >> No, I'm saying it was a publicity stunt that for a radio station
> that
> >> > >
> >> > > some people took seriously.
> >> > >
> >> > >
> >> > > different set of events.
> >> > >
> >> > >
> >> > >> Again if it was tied to anything right
> >> > >> leaning it would be bunk before it started. Now miraculously
> science
> >> > >> can never be wrong.
> >> > >>
> >> > >
> >> > > Your paranoia is getting on top of you. I am saying that if there is
> >> > > something wrong with the journal article -- besides your moral
> >> > indignation
> >> > > at something said by someone that did not even participate--
> >> > > then speak up. And learn the freaking difference between a
> hypothesis
> >> > and a
> >> > > clinical study for fuck's sake
> >> > >
> >> > >
> >> > >>  I…decided to find out what was BIOLOGICALLY WRONG with people who
> >> > >>  DON'T AGREE WITH ME.
> >> > >>
> >> > >
> >> > > so? Is that in the journal article that Larry posted? Is it part of
> the
> >> > > selection criteria, or does it affect the sample size? You're
> offended.
> >> > I'm
> >> > > sad you're sad. It still doesn't "see what the scientists had to
> say"
> >> > mean
> >> > > "predetermined". No matter how sad or offended you are.
> >> > >
> >> > >
> >> > >> That's what Larry claimed and that's why we're discussing it. Do
> you
> >> > >> not pay attention?
> >> > >>
> >> > >
> >> > > I don't give a fuck what Larry said. That might be why you're...
> doing
> >> > > whatever you are doing, but I am here because a whiny little bitch
> likArchive:
>
> http://www.houseoffusion.com/groups/cf-community/message.cfm/messageid:346951
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>
> --
> Larry C. Lyons
> web: http://www.lyonsmorris.com/lyons
> LinkedIn: http://www.linkedin.com/in/larryclyons
>
> There is a cult of ignorance in the United States, and there always has
> been. The strain of anti-intellectualism has been a constant thread winding
> its way through our political and cultural life, nurtured by the false
> notion that democracy means that "my ignorance is just as good as your
> knowledge." - Issac Asimov
>
> 

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