Diplomacy in action. Looks like Obama doesn't want a war...yet.

> Go Go USA!
> Starting Wars is the way!


Events do not wait as Obama plays a delay defense

By Jackson Diehl, Published: April 15

Barack Obama’s foreign policy strategy in this election year might be
best summed up by William F. Buckley’s famous promise: to “stand
athwart history, yelling stop.” Wherever war rages, crisis looms, or a
truculent strongman glowers, the message from the White House has been
the same: “Give me space.”

Those were the instantly emblematic words captured by a rogue
microphone when Obama met Russian President Dmitry Medvedev on March
26. They were followed by an assurance that “after my election I have
more flexibility.” The next day Obama defensively protested that he
was talking about arms control negotiations, and “I don’t think it’s
any surprise that you can’t start that a few months before a
presidential and congressional elections.”

But the Russian government is hardly the only nuisance Obama is trying
to put off. A week before meeting Medvedev, Obama phoned Palestinian
leader Mahmoud Abbas, who has been off most diplomatic radar screens
since he abandoned an attempt to have Palestine admitted to the United
Nations last fall.

Why the sudden presidential outreach? A gloomy Abbas has been toying
with possible ways to reclaim global attention — such as shutting down
his own government. So a bland White House statement, reporting that
“the two leaders agreed on the necessity of the two-state solution . .
. and for all sides to refrain from provocative actions,” was surely
incomplete. Can there be any doubt that the phrases “after the
election” and “more flexibility” also came up?

Israeli leader Benjamin Netanyahu has been getting the same treatment.
Having set up a March 5 Oval Office meeting with Obama as a
potentially fateful discussion of a military strike on Iran’s nuclear
facilities, Netanyahu found himself masterfully outmaneuvered. Obama’s
combination of promises to act when needed and public assurances that
that moment was still a year or more away sent Netanyahu home with a
tough argument in his cabinet for ordering an Israeli attack — at
least for a few months.

And so it goes. Civil war may rage in Syria, with thousands of deaths
and a potentially major effect on U.S. strategic interests. But Obama
is determined to do nothing that would take away his stump speech
boast that the “tide of war is receding.” In the negotiations with
Iran that began Saturday, the administration is focused on a
time-buying deal that will stop the most dangerous Iranian nuclear
activities and further deter Israeli military action — while leaving
the underlying problem to be solved later.

Obama’s delay defense can be dated to Feb. 29, when the State
Department announced a bargain to trade 240,000 tons of food for a
pledge by North Korea to freeze its missile and nuclear weapons
programs. Diplomats talked up the dubious possibility that Pyongyang
was ready to make peace with the outside world. But the more pragmatic
objective was obvious: a few months of peace and quiet.

That brings us to the weakness with Obama’s strategy: It hands control
over events to the likes of 28-year-old Kim Jong Eun. Sure enough, the
reprieve Obama thought he had purchased in north Asia expired after
only 16 days, when North Korea announced the long-range rocket launch
that took place early Friday. The agreement turned out to be a trap.
Now that the Obama administration has withdrawn the promised food aid,
the regime will have a cue to carry out the nuclear weapons test that
many experts are now expecting.

In Syria, too, delay may prove disastrous. As the senior State
Department official for the Middle East, Jeffrey Feltman, told
Congress on March 1, “it’s important that the tipping point for the
regime be reached quickly, because the longer the regime assaults the
Syrian people, the greater the chances of all-out war in a failed
state.” Yet in the following six weeks Obama has been passive,
delegating Syria to the feckless diplomatic hands of former U.N.
Secretary General Kofi Annan. Some 1,000 more Syrians have been
killed; last week’s “cease-fire” is crumbling. At this rate, the
“all-out war” Feltman predicted will be underway long before November.

As for Iran, if Tehran accepts Obama’s bargain, the momentum the
administration has managed to build up behind sanctions, and the
resulting pressure on the Iranian economy, will be broken. If the
regime then cheats, or refuses to negotiate a more lasting solution to
its pursuit of nuclear technology, Obama will end his term with Iran
closer to a an atomic bomb than it was in 2009.

And if Iran won’t agree, and the talks collapse? Then Obama’s effort
to stop history until November will once again depend on a man who
probably would like to see him lose the election: Netanyahu. That’s
the problem with asking for “space”: It tends to get filled by others.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/events-do-not-wait-as-obama-plays-a-dela

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