Why Israel Doesn't Trust Obama
The U.S. is harder on its ally than on Iran's nuclear program. .
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10000872396390444914904577623504274512294.html

Barack Obama is fond of insisting that he "has Israel's back." Maybe he
should mention that to the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs.

In remarks to journalists in London quoted by the Guardian, General Martin
Dempsey warned that any Israeli attack on Iran would "clearly delay but
probably not destroy Iran's nuclear programs." He also said economic
sanctions on Iran were having an effect and needed more time to work, but
that the good they were doing "could be undone if [Iran] was attacked
prematurely."

And to underscore the firmness of his opposition to an Israeli strike, the
Chairman added that "I don't want to be complicit if they choose to do it."

We don't know what exactly Gen. Dempsey thinks American non-complicity might
entail in the event of a strike. Should the Administration refuse to
resupply Israel with jets and bombs, or condemn an Israeli strike at the
U.N.? Nor do we know if the General was conducting freelance diplomacy or
sending a signal from an Administration that feels the same way but doesn't
want to say so during a political season.

Whatever the case, the remarks were counterproductive and oddly timed, with
this week's report by the International Atomic Energy Agency that Iran's
nuclear programs haven't been slowed in the least by U.S. or international
sanctions. In fact, they are accelerating.

Iran has now installed 2,140 centrifuges at its underground Fordo facility
near the city of Qom. Its stockpile of uranium enriched to 20%熔r 87% of the
enrichment needed to reach bomb-grade levels揺as grown from effectively zero
to some 200 kilograms in a year. Only 50 more kilograms of 20% uranium are
needed to produce a bomb, and that's saying nothing of Iran's additional
large stockpiles of reactor-grade uranium that can also be enriched to
higher levels of purity.

Administration officials have also repeatedly told the media that they
aren't entirely sure if Iran really intends to build a bomb. We'll grant
that ultimate intentions are usually unknowable, especially in closed
societies such as Iran's.

Yet as the IAEA noted, "the Agency has become increasingly concerned about
the possible existence in Iran of undisclosed nuclear related activities
related to the development of a nuclear payload for a missile." These
activities, by the way, "continued after 2003," according to the report.
This puts paid for the umpteenth time the 2007 National Intelligence
Estimate that misleadingly claimed the contrary.

No wonder the Israelis are upset預t the U.S. Administration. It's one thing
to hear from Mahmoud Ahmadinejad that he wants to wipe you off the map: At
least it has the ring of honesty. It's quite another to hear from President
Obama that he has your back, even as his Administration tries to sell to the
public a make-believe world in which Iran's nuclear intentions are
potentially peaceful, sanctions are working and diplomacy hasn't failed
after three and half years.

The irony for the Administration is that its head-in-the-sand performance is
why many Israeli decision-makers believe they had better strike sooner than
later. Not only is there waning confidence that Mr. Obama is prepared to
take military action on his own, but there's also a fear that a re-elected
President Obama will take a much harsher line on an Israeli attack than he
would before the first Tuesday in November.

If Gen. Dempsey or Administration officials really wanted to avert an
Israeli strike, they would seek to reassure Jerusalem that the U.S. is under
no illusions about the mullahs' nuclear goals熔r about their proximity to
achieving them. They're doing the opposite.

Since coming to office, Obama Administration policy toward Israel has
alternated between animus and incompetence. We don't know what motivated
Gen. Dempsey's outburst, but a President who really had Israel's back would
publicly contradict it.


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