No your are definately not wrong.

Flex is meant as a rapid development framework for complex Rich Internet 
Applications. Flash has full ECMA support and has the ability in combination 
with for example, Flash Communication Server, for building complex web 
applications ... 

all in theory .. 

In practice, with the current flashplayer, flash applications are way too 
heavy. That is because the flash player in its current form isn't capable of 
giving the required performance for larger interfaces. On the Mac the player is 
even worse. On my dual opteron workstation for example scrolling the Flex 
Treeview example isn't going smoothly.

Once the new flash player comes out I bet you will see more possibilities with 
RIA's in a Flash form. The previewed performance was dramatically, but we are 
not there yet.

Javascript isn't the quickest scripting language either, it just isn't, but it 
is capable in its current capacity of doing all what you need today, and it has 
enough power to build truly large interfaces. 

A BIG disadvantage of using Ajax, is the lack of experienced developers. It 
requires several years of experience on multiple areas. It requires extensive 
knowledge of CSS, XML (XHTML), Markup and JavaScript, in combination with 
presentation layer architecture experience. There are very few people who can 
do this. But once you get a team of this type of geeks together you get things 
like Gmail.

Things like checking logins with xmlHttp, most people can do, that is not 
difficult at all. It becomes truly powerfull, if you can build entire 
interfaces with it acting responsive, user friendly and cached (yes... js,css 
files are cached).

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