A former co-worker from the mid 80s ended up working on Bill Gates personal
staff for a while, told me that considering Bill Gates is one of the world's
most famous businessmen, and spectacularly wealthy, he's paranoid about
competition.  He said that Gates was always conscious of the fact that when
Microsoft started in making spreadsheets, Visicalc was the market dominator.
When Microsoft started making word processors, Word Perfect pretty well
owned the market.  When Microsoft started making network software, Novell
was totally dominant.   In Gates view of the world,  one wrong move on
Microsoft's part and they could end up like Netscape, Word Perfect, and
Novell - almost out of the game.  Or Visicalc- vanished entirely.

If you recall it nearly happened.  When Windows95 came out, Microsoft had
this idea that they could get rid of the internet and have everyone using
MSN instead.   If they hadn't done such a major turnaround the IT landscape
might be totally different today. 

So .. in that environment, Microsoft are very conscious of any major
organisation anywhere challenging whether they should be using Microsoft
products.  They are acutely aware that the IT world could turn and bite them
if they play the wrong cards against Linux or any other competitor.  And
they are also well aware that the competitor that ends up killing them could
easily be a startup today and working out of someone's garage.   Just like
they were a startup that pushed the gigantic IBM off the pedestal.

You shouldn't read anything into what looks like Microsoft in panic mode.
That's situation normal for them. They're not going to let $160million worth
of software go to Linux or anyone else without a major fight.  As they see
it, it could easily be the revenue that funds the company that puts them out
of business.

Cheers
Mike Kear
Windsor, NSW, Australia
AFP Webworks
http://afpwebworks.com



-----Original Message-----
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
[mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of Barry Beattie
Sent: Tuesday, 6 July 2004 12:32 PM
To: CFAussie Mailing List
Subject: [cfaussie] Re: microsoft in panic mode


>> It's just Microsoft's typical technique to get their software in

sure this is to secure a big contract and they'll still be making $Mega
from it but IMHO it's typical of some of the things I've seen. Last year
my former employer (a training org) received a $multi-thousand bribe
from MS because we had ONE linux box running as a mailserver. Have
others had this too? Here in Australia the likes of Telstra and the Tax
Office questioning their decisions to follow MS's strategy. Some
continue, some change.

>> where CF might fit in all of this?

I can see this linux/MS battle going one of two ways for CF. Part of it
involves MS leveraging ASP.NET (v2.0 soon) another part with the
acceptance of Java over .NET () but it may come down to

1) CF "slips thru the cracks" and will benefit from the fact it can run
on both platforms happily (is MM *really* pushing this fact for what's
it's worth?) and is nicely integrated with Java
OR
2) CF gets trampled by the crush of the two adversaries (keep in mind
all the hype that will happen with ASP.NET 2.0) with everyone else
aligning themselves to one or the other.

that's why I'm curious. I know others also don't have a crystal ball but
MS do *seem* to be in a panic over this.

just 2c worth
barry.b




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