I got an expected number of rounds around 1e6. It seems a bit high but I
think it might be right. So if they want to be 100% they'll die of natural
causes while waiting.

I wasn't on the forums 5 years ago but its certainly a good problem.



On Mon, Sep 10, 2012 at 6:06 PM, Roger Hui <[email protected]>wrote:

> V. good.
>
> A related question for the 100 Prisoners problem, is the expected
> number of rounds before the prisoners go free, if each prisoner has
> the same chance of being picked in each round.
>
> Did you solve the 88 Hats problem when it was posed here 5 years ago?
>
>
>
> On 9/10/12, Jordan Tirrell <[email protected]> wrote:
> > 99 of the prisoners switch the light if and only if it is currently off
> and
> > they have not turned it on in a prior round.
> >
> > The one other prisoner turns the light bulb off every time time he finds
> it
> > on (otherwise leaves it off). He asserts the claim after he has turned it
> > off 99 times.
> >
> >
> >
> > On Mon, Sep 10, 2012 at 11:55 AM, Roger Hui
> > <[email protected]>wrote:
> >
> >> 100 prisoners are in solitary cells, unable to see, speak or communicate
> >> in
> >> any way from those solitary cells with each other. There's a central
> >> living
> >> room with one light bulb; the bulb is initially off. No prisoner can see
> >> the light bulb from his own cell. Everyday, the warden picks a prisoner
> >> at
> >> random, and that prisoner goes to the central living room. While there,
> >> the
> >> prisoner can toggle the bulb if he wishes. Also, the prisoner has the
> >> option of asserting the claim that all 100 prisoners have been to the
> >> living room. If this assertion is false (that is, some prisoners still
> >> haven't been to the living room), all 100 prisoners will be shot for
> >> their
> >> stupidity. However, if it is indeed true, all prisoners are set free.
> >> Thus,
> >> the assertion should only be made if the prisoner is 100% certain of its
> >> validity.
> >>
> >> Before the random picking begins, the prisoners are allowed to get
> >> together
> >> to discuss a plan. So -- what plan should they agree on, so that
> >> eventually, someone will make a correct assertion?
> >> ____________________
> >>
> >> Posed to me by Arthur Whitney at Iverson
> >> College<https://sites.google.com/site/iversoncollege/>.
> >> This puzzle resembles the 88
> >> Hats<http://www.jsoftware.com/papers/88hats.htm>puzzle but is (IMO)
> >> easier.
> >> ----------------------------------------------------------------------
> >> For information about J forums see http://www.jsoftware.com/forums.htm
> >>
> > ----------------------------------------------------------------------
> > For information about J forums see http://www.jsoftware.com/forums.htm
> >
> ----------------------------------------------------------------------
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>
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