http://weekly.ahram.org.eg/2009/957/fr1.htm

23 - 29 July 2009
Issue No. 957
Published in Cairo by AL-AHRAM established in 1875

Empty words
Fatah and Hamas appear able to agree just one thing, that elections be 
postponed. Saleh Al-Naami examines the causes, and ramifications, of a dispute 
that serves to exacerbate the suffering of ordinary Palestinians 

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
       Click to view caption 
      Fatah and Hamas may be sworn enemies, for now. But it is the Israeli 
military (standing guard over a protest against the apertheid wall) that is the 
long-term beneficiery of such inter-Palestinian strife 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
     
Beneath the blazing sun Ahmed Al-Sheify continues to search the lists of names 
tacked to the wall of a school next to a police headquarters in the west of 
Gaza. They contain the names of everyone entitled to a $100 payment from the 
Ministry of Social Affairs of the Palestinian government. Suddenly Al-Sheify's 
face lights up. His name is on one of the lists. 

The payment, supplemented by aid from the United Nations Relief and Works 
Agency for Palestinian Refugees in the Near East (UNRWA), which supplies basic 
food necessities, allows Al-Sheify's family of six to survive. The thing that 
most frustrates him is that he will be forced to live on such handouts until an 
agreement is reached that can end internal Palestinian divisions. 

Al-Sheify is not alone in despairing at the petty back-and-forth squabbling 
between Fatah and Hamas. Each group blames the other for the failure of the 
latest round of talks in Cairo. Amid conflicting statements issued by the two 
factions one thing is clear. It is security arrangements that are at the heart 
of their most recent disagreements. 

Majed Faraj, a member of the Fatah delegation, said Fatah had demanded Hamas 
recognise the existence of the security forces in Gaza before Hamas came to 
power. He also said Fatah had demanded the step-by-step return of those 
security forces to their posts -- they amount to 10,000 men -- as well as a 
review of the security forces introduced after Hamas took control. According to 
Faraj, Hamas is seeking to limit return to 3,000, starting with just 300. He 
also claimed Hamas was asking to send its own forces to the West Bank under 
some sort of a quota system, an idea Fatah has refused in its entirety. 

Salah Al-Bardawil, a member of Hamas delegation to Cairo, accuses Fatah leaders 
of adopting an uncompromising position that will shatter any earlier consensus. 
He was taken by surprise when Fatah demanded "an end to Hamas's rule in Gaza", 
arguing that such a stance undermines the basis of dialogue between the two 
factions. 

Speaking to Al-Ahram Weekly Al-Bardawil said that Fatah had objected to 
Egyptian proposals calling for the formation of a joint committee to oversee 
the administration of the Gaza Strip, as well as a joint security force. He 
also said Fatah had refused to discuss the issue of political prisoners. 

Ashraf Gomaa, a senior Fatah legislator, refutes such charges, and has accused 
Hamas of trying to reach a political deal that guarantees its continued control 
over Gaza. Gomaa called on Hamas to adopt a strategy more open to Fatah the 
better to deal with the international community. 

"It is clear that people are looking after their own interests, especially when 
it comes to political detainees. The Fatah movement is against political 
arrests. We do not arrest anyone. We are seeking the release of prisoners in 
the West Bank, and this is being done gradually," said Gomaa.

Fatah and Hamas at least agreed to postpone elections that were scheduled to be 
held on 25 January. The Weekly has learned that an understanding to this effect 
was reached in the second round of talks held last Sunday in Cairo. Informed 
sources say both Fatah and Hamas consider postponement in their interest. 

While Fatah leaders are publicly in favour of elections now, in private they 
are worried that they will be defeated at the ballot box. They fear the 
Palestinian Authority's failure to persuade Palestinians, especially those in 
the West Bank, to reach a settlement with Israel, and continued Israeli 
settlement building and land confiscation in the West Bank, combined with 
draconian restrictions on movement, will weigh heavily against their electoral 
chances. Fatah is also worried that voters will exact a heavy price for its 
security forces' violations of human rights under Salam Fayyad's government. 

Nor does Hamas see elections as being in its own interest as long as Gaza 
remains under siege. It fears that many who voted for the movement in the last 
elections will desert.

Hamas spokesman Sami Abu Zuhri has said that the movement is predicating 
elections on a number of conditions. It is demanding the restructuring of the 
Electoral Commission and the Judicial Committee which oversee elections. It 
also wants guarantees that the siege of Gaza will end, that Egypt be the one to 
work towards Palestinian reconciliation, and that elections to the Palestinian 
Authority be conducted in tandem with legislative and presidential polls. Hamas 
is also demanding an end to political detentions, the release of all members of 
parliament currently under arrest, and international guarantees that MPs will 
not be arrested after they are elected. 

"Political indicators confirm the inability of the two Palestinian factions to 
bridge the divide between them, which means that elections will not be held on 
schedule," says Hassan Khreisheh, independent second deputy speaker of the 
Legislative Council. "If the elections are not held on time the Legislative 
Council will continue to exist along current lines, i.e. those who are from the 
West Bank will remain in the West Bank, and those from Gaza in Gaza." 

Should that happen, argues Khreisheh, President Mahmoud Abbas will lose 
constitutional legitimacy, opening a political vacuum that will remain until 
presidential elections are held. 

The Weekly has learned that Egypt requested the Hamas delegation in the Cairo 
to allow Fatah members and Gaza residents to travel to Bethlehem in order to 
participate in Fatah's General Conference. A Hamas source confirmed that Hamas 
would respond "positively" to Egypt's request, taking into account security 
conditions. The source stressed that Hamas would not seek to hamper Fatah's 
Sixth Conference. However, he added, "some of those associated with the Fatah 
Conference raise security concerns and it will be difficult for us to allow 
them to travel". 

"For this reason, those who want to travel must submit a request to the 
government in Gaza, in order that their files can be checked. Another problem 
is that there are still some people who have expressed their request to travel 
verbally, and have yet to submit a written request."

In the meantime, Palestinians are paying close attention to Israeli Prime 
Minister Binyamin Netanyahu's stance, not least his refusal to take a single 
step towards resolving the conflict through peaceful means. This, in turn, 
affects the credibility of the positions put forward by President Abbas and 
Fayyad's government. Netanyahu has openly challenged the US administration by 
rejecting American demands to freeze settlement-building in occupied East 
Jerusalem. At the weekly Israeli cabinet meeting on Sunday Netanyahu said Jews 
could live in Jerusalem wherever they pleased. 

Netanyahu's challenge followed reports in Haaretz newspaper that Israeli 
decision-makers had started to take Obama's admonitions lightly, characterising 
the US president as naïve. According to the newspaper, the attitude was most 
deeply embedded among senior staff in Netanyahu's office. According to the 
report the most popular joke circulating among the Israeli prime minister's 
senior advisors is as follows: 

"What does an American do when he discovers his house is a wreck, or that his 
washing machine is not working? 

Easy, he calls on Obama to give a speech. Problem solved." (see p.6) 

<<_fro1.jpg>>

Kirim email ke