http://www.aawsat.com/english/news.asp?section=2&id=21213


Bin Laden, Nasrallah, Ahmadinejad and Now Erdogan!

07/06/2010
By Abdul Rahman Al-Rashid





It goes without saying that Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan aimed 
to break the Israeli blockade of Gaza, however - and perhaps without meaning to 
- he managed to break Iran's blockade of the Arabs. 

Before jumping to conclusions, let us try and read the situation today. 
Following the traditional proclamation "The King is dead. Long live the King!" 
posters of Sayyid Hassan Nasrallah and Mahmoud Ahmadinejad were covered over 
and replaced with posters of Erdogan. Since every party has a star, the Turkish 
leader has become the Arab's favorite star for this political season. Posters 
are the most revealing means of gauging the public mood in the region, and so 
in the past posters of Bin Laden could be found everywhere when Al Qaeda was 
mounting deadly attacks on the West in the name of Palestine and Islam. However 
following crushing defeats suffered by Al Qaeda, posters of Bin Laden were 
replaced by posters of Hassan Nasrallah. Nasrallah enjoyed immense popularity 
in the wake of Hezbollah's war on Israel, and posters of him could be found 
everywhere, from on the walls of coffeehouses to plastering the windows of 
buses. 

However Erdogan has taken over from Bin Laden and Nasrallah today, while the 
Turks have replaced the Iranians, and this is by creating an uproar over the 
Freedom Flotilla [which was raided by Israel] and by making fiery speeches. 
This has allowed the Arabs to vent their suppressed feelings of bitterness and 
resentment, especially as the region had been experiencing a period of dull 
calm after Hezbollah's guns fell silent, and after Hamas gave up on its 
principles when it announced last week that it consents to finding a solution 
through peaceful negotiations, and that it would be willing to accept a 
Palestinian state within the 1967 borders. 

For his part, Erdogan has been escalating the conflict with Israel since the 
infamous incident at the World Economics Forum in Davos when he clashed with 
Shimon Peres and walked out of the Forum. The latest example of this conflict 
can be seen in the Israeli assault on the Gaza-bound [Turkish] aid ship. 

However the hot-blooded Turkish rhetoric is different to the Iranian shouting. 
Turkey did not sever its ties with Israel, and it did not halt its security, 
military, and political cooperation with Tel Aviv. Israel is also continuing to 
use Turkish territory and air space for its war games in preparation for a 
possible war with Iran. The Arabs, however, are not concerned by this, for they 
are well-accustomed to duplicity. 

Erdogan, who wanted to break Israel's blockade of Gaza, broke the Iranian 
blockade on the Arabs instead, and this is an important event if it truly comes 
as part of a political project, for this has caused Ahmadinejad's image to 
fade, and Nasrallah's presence to wane. More than this, the Arab regimes have 
welcomed the Turkish competition [with Iran]. Are there those who are 
encouraging Ankara's emergence with the aim of diminishing Iran's presence? 

The Arab's problem with Iran playing a leading role is their fear of Tehran, 
for they believe that Iran is hiding a political agenda that is hostile to 
their interests. By supporting the Palestinian cause, Tehran is strengthening 
its staunch ally Hezbollah, and this is with the aim of imposing Iranian 
hegemony on the entire Arab region. As for Turkey, the most that Ankara could 
benefit from by raising the Palestinian flag would be by advancing its 
political status, particularly in the face of deliberate European reluctance 
[to deal with Turkey]. This does not contract or marginalize Arab interests, 
unlike the Iranian goal which directly undermines the Arab position. 

Some argue that Turkey's appearance on the Arab political scene, despite the 
fact that this embarrasses Arab regimes, also serves them by keeping Iran's 
political and propaganda onslaught at bay. It might have occurred to some 
Arabs, who are being politically besieged by Iran, to attempt to bring in 
Turkey to counterbalance Tehran. This is in line with the specifications of the 
new conflict in the region, the most prominent of which is sectarian.

However an opposite point of view sees Turkey as an alarming and additional 
power in the region that is not a substitute for Iran. They believe that Syria, 
Tehran's strategic ally, invited Turkey to have a role in the Middle East when 
it suggested Ankara as mediator for its negotiations with Israel. Without 
Damascus, Turkey would never have gained a foothold in the Arab world today. So 
the question is, is Turkey a part of the Iranian axis, or is it part of a plan 
to exclude the Iranians? 

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