I guess that's why the NHC puts out all those adviseries and cone of 
uncertainty. We've lived in SW Fl for too many years and been through a few of 
those " won't come here" scenerios. Hurricane Charley being one of them. We 
learned a long time ago that's it's a lot cheaper and less stressful if you 
just prepare. Charley was headed to Tampa but made that unexpected turn and 
nail our little city flat. All except our house and our boat. Not bragging, but 
we knew what could happen. We had very little damage cause we had prepped. I 
can only say sorry to hear about your damage and hope it's not too bad. I'm 
sure you will prep more next time. TedS/V TenTen  '81. 40'Punta Gorda Fl.  

Sent from Yahoo Mail on Android 
 
  On Wed, Sep 16, 2020 at 17:34, Dennis C.<capt...@gmail.com> wrote:   As many 
of you know, Touche' is in Pensacola near the landfall of Hurricane Sally.  
Early report from a pier neighbor is Touche' is "okay".  Torn headsail and 
maybe some canvas damage.  Touche's slip is on a Category 3 rated floating  
pier.   I will head to the boat as soon as I can to assess any damage.  Local 
authorities may be barring entry to non-residents, I don't know yet.
Which brings me to the "vagaries" thing.  I drove home from a week in the 
Smokies and spent Sunday night on Touche'.  I looked at all the models Monday 
morning which said Sally was going to Louisiana or Mississippi.  I did some 
moderate storm preparations and drove home to Louisiana to secure my house.
This storm took one of the most surprising turns I've ever seen.  Up until 
about 24-36 hours prior to landfall, the models were still forecasting a 
landfall along the Mississippi coast.  Then it slowed down and shifted 
dramatically east.
My lesson from this is if there is the slightest chance of a direct or near 
hit, do a FULL storm preparation.  Had I done that, I might have had no or very 
little damage. 
The tall ship La Nina, a replica of Columbus' ship, was docked in Palafox Pier 
Marina in downtown Pensacola.  That marina was essentially destroyed.
There's another storm developing in the Bay of Campeche.  Early model runs 
point it at Louisiana.  Dang.
More as I hear it.

-- 
Dennis C.Touche' 35-1 #83Mandeville, 
LA_______________________________________________

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