Adam Green brought up several methodological problems with the
analysis of CBC data in the birds and climate change stuy.  I
completed courses in inferential statistics and in research
methodology in grad school so I can appreciate his concerns.

There have been a number of studies done to determine methods that can
be employed to analyze the CBC data that produce reliable and
meaningful results.  One of these was  "NONLINEAR POPULATION DYNAMICS
OF SIX SPECIES OF FLORIDA CICONIIFORMES ASSESSED BY CHRISTMAS BIRD
COUNTS"  that was published in the journal Ecological Applications, a
peer-reviewed scientific journal published by the Ecological Society
of America.  Greg Butcher who is one of the researchers in the study
at hand was one of the authors.

Another salient paper, "ENHANCING THE SCIENTIFIC VALUE OF THE
CHRISTMAS BIRD COUNT" , was published in 2005 in the "Auk", the
prestigious journal of the American Ornithologist's Union.

Dr. Niven, one of the researchers in this research was one of the
authors of "A Hierarchical Model for Regional Analysis of Population
Change Using Christmas Bird Count Data, with Application to the
American Black Duck".  That was published in 2006 in "The Condor"
which is the journal of the prestigious Cooper Ornithological Society.

The authors of "Birds and Climate Change Ecological Disruption in
Motion", Daniel K. Niven. Ph.D.,Gregory S. Butcher, Ph.D.,G. Thomas
Bancroft, Ph.D.,William B.Monahan, Ph.D, and Gary Langham, Ph.D, are
experienced bird/wildlife researchers.  I know Greg Butcher and I
believe that he would be willing to respond to reasonable questions
regarding the methodological issues involved in this research.

SeEtta Moss, Conservation Chair
Arkansas Valley Audubon Society and Audubon Colorado
Canon City
http://BirdsAndNature.blogspot.com

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