Thank you 
Duane 

Sent from my iPhone

> On Jul 4, 2015, at 7:31 PM, Duane Nelson <[email protected]> wrote:
> 
> Birders,
> 
> I know there is a lot of interest in the nesting status of Piping Plovers and 
> Least Terns in Colorado this year. Water continues to rise in Southeast 
> Colorado Reservoirs, and flood warnings persist at vulnerable sites along the 
> Arkansas River east of Pueblo, especially at Avondale in Pueblo County, and 
> between La Junta and Las Animas. The Arkansas River has flowed dike-to-dike 
> in Las Animas for two months now. As a result, we are experiencing rising 
> water at multiple locations, almost unprecedented in their intensity and 
> duration. For example, the elevation of John Martin Reservoir stood at 4,111 
> feet of elevation on May 7th (45,000 acre-feet of storage). Today, the 
> elevation is nearing 4,149 feet, with 304,000 acre-feet of water in storage. 
> Put in perspective, we have received the equivalent of six years of winter 
> storage water over a period of 8 weeks, an amount that is not far from the 
> average runoff of the entire San Juan Mountains in an average year. The water 
> level has risen 38 vertical feet. No amount of work could save the Piping 
> Plover nests there this year. Water is still rising. John Martin Reservoir 
> now extends west to Ft. Lyon. The corner at Bent County Roads JJ and 16 was 
> closed today as it is now underwater. Road JJ at Vans Grove is underwater, as 
> is JJ just west of Road 19. Adobe Creek Reservoir is full, Horse Creek 
> Reservoir is nearly full, Neenoshe Reservoir is receiving water, Upper Queens 
> Reservoir is high, and Lower Queens has a sizeable pool. This is like the 
> good old days of the late 1990's and early 2000's.
> 
> Many of you heard my presentation on the Status of Piping Plovers and Least 
> Terns at the CFO Convention in Salida in early June. I highlighted the impact 
> of this year's flooding in my program, and tried to put an optimistic spin on 
> the possible impact of flooding on our birds I concluded with three 
> predictions:
> 1. Flooding would reset everything. Since our historic drought began in 2002, 
> vegetation has encroached on historic nest sites, rodents and predators have 
> impacted nesting, and our strategy has been coping with habitat loss due to 
> drought. Now, we need to re-calibrate everything as lakes fill, but habitat 
> is almost non-existent in July of 2015. Without rising water, Least Terns 
> were likely gone as a nesting species in Colorado, after a 45 year run of 
> successful nesting.
> 2. Suitable nesting habitat will exist in 2016, providing we deal with salt 
> cedar trees and other vegetation on islands in southeast Colorado this year.
> 3. Maintaining a nesting culture of Piping Plovers and Least Terns in 2015 is 
> our most important objective for the remainder of 2015, so that the local 
> nesting culture continues past this year. This is our most important 
> immediate management task. 
> 
> I can report a little bit of good news today. Four pairs of Piping Plovers 
> originating at John Martin Reservoir earlier in the year found habitat for 
> nesting on private property in Kiowa County. Two landowners allowed me 
> unconditional access to their land bordering playas. I have found four Piping 
> Plover nests since birds were driven away from their Colorado nesting 
> stronghold of John Martin Reservoir. Today, the first Piping Plover nest of 
> 2015 hatched. I observed 3 hatch-day young, a sight that seemed improbable 
> just a few weeks ago. The fourth egg might have hatched by now.  Exclosure 
> cages are working to keep coyotes from depredating eggs so far, and there is 
> a reasonable chance we might actually have a break-even year after facing 
> what has seemed to be impossible odds.
> 
> I hope birders respect private property and the welfare of these birds in 
> this exceptionally tough year. If you absolutely, positively have to see 
> these birds, let me know, and I'll help you. A better idea: wait 'til next 
> year.
> 
> Respectfully,
> 
> Duane Nelson
> Las Animas, Bent County, CO
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