Greetings All

The Pink-footed Goose (and friends, about 30 Canadas and 5-10 Richardson's 
Cacklings) spent nearly the entire day in the large pond adjacent to Idaho 
Creek Wildlife Area. The bird was typically best seen from along Weld County 
Road 7, and though our cars were sticking a wee bit into the street, no one 
came to shoo us off; indeed several locals came by for interested and friendly 
chats. 


The wild vs non-wild question is unknowable. No bands, hind-toes intact. So, at 
least no slam dunk signs of prior captivity. 
Washington State had two adults appear on its outer coast in December 2003. I 
was part of the WBRC when we reviewed the birds. Many of us felt the odds of 
the birds being wild were high, but decided to hold off on accepting the 
species onto the state list -- waiting to see if a pattern developed


Why did we think the birds had a goodly chance of being wild. 
1) Wild population was quickly increasing and had spread to Greenland
2) We enlisted the aid of some of the country's most respected aviculturalists 
(and avian curator at the Seattle zoo), and found only one aviculturalist that 
kept this PF Goose (I can't remember where - but in Canada, 4 birds total, all 
well ensconced at the time). Don't know why this species is rare in captivity 
in North America but it is. This is in contrast to Barnacle Goose, which is not 
rare in captivity.
3) We looked at the migration path of Iceland breeding birds to nw Europe (the 
species' usual wintering ground). Turn that around 180 degrees (a common 
misorientation pattern in vagrant birds), travel the same distance, and that 
puts the birds in central Saskatchewan (as I recall). Continue that same 
direction... and you are on the Washington coast. Hook up with other geese in 
Saskatchewan, and you might find yourself in CO. 


Also, I think if you change the breeding location (Iceland vs Greenland), that 
180 degree error might land the bird in CO. 


Sadly, the eBird reviewers for WA decided to be very conservative and did not 
put those well documented birds on eBird, which makes research into these 
matters more challenging. There were, interestingly, another 2 PF Geese on 
southern Vancouver Island, BC  (not far from the 2003 WA birds) during the 
2016-2017 winter. Same pair??? There are no other accepted PF Geese on eBird 
west of NY and PA.


Below are stats on the population increase of PF Goose. 


Taxa with rapidly increasing populations are far more prone to vagrancy, 
explaining why Aleutian Cackling Geese have been found as vagrants far more 
than minima Cackling Geese over the last decade, despite relatively similar 
populations and migration distance. 


I hope this provides some illumination if not 100% conclusions
Steve




https://monitoring.wwt.org.uk/our-work/goose-swan-monitoring-programme/species-accounts/pink-footed-goose/



2017
515,852
17.1
1.85

2016
481,341
18.8
1.75

2015
536,871
18.8
1.89

2014
393,170
19.4
2.01

2013
372,074
17.3
2.16

2012
359,175
21.1
2.30

2011
260,325
8.5
1.77

2010
297,798
19.9
2.32

2009
364,212
17.3
1.87

2008
351,188
22.9
2.08

2007
284,405
20.0
2.27

2006
230,123
19.3
2.20

2005
302,774
18.1
1.7

2004
276,644
19.4
2.1

2003
280,998
19.0
2.19


 

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