Steven,
The interesting things that you are noting are dataset problems in SE CO.
The closest radar (what birdcast is based on) is probably Pueblo (but the
radar is along the El Paso/Pueblo county borders).  The further away from a
radar you get, the higher up in the atmosphere you are and the less likely
you are to encounter birds since they like to fly about 1-1.5km above the
ground (if possible).  By the time you reach that far out on a radar beam,
you are usually 4-6km off the ground, so you are missing the bulk of the
birds if there are any.  The green dots on the birdcast map are where the
radars are, and you will see quite clearly that there aren't radars very
close to SE CO.

I love the folks at Cornell and appreciate what they are trying to do on a
localized scale with the radar data.  It is a great dataset for correlating
with local upticks in birds.  It isn't, however, a large-scale indicator of
bird movement.  They can only be reactive, not proactive to the weather
patterns.  Getting a deeper look into forecasting is what I am trying to
do.  I hope my forecasts can help in a different way than the birdcasts can.

Thanks for the info.
Bryan

Bryan Guarente
Meteorologist/Instructional Designer
UCAR/The COMET Program
Boulder, CO


On Thu, Apr 16, 2020 at 7:31 AM Steven Rash <[email protected]> wrote:

> Bryan,
>
> The overnight Birdcast seems to agree with your prediction, though it
> looks like the bulk of the movement was full on northward. I bet there were
> some wayward flocks on the fringe that made it into the southeast corner as
> well. Cool to see the correlation between datasets! Thanks for your post.
>
> https://birdcast.info/live-migration-maps/
>
> Steve Rash
> Denver Co.
>
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