Thanks Bryan! Fascinating. Wonder what cool birds are taking a rest in SE 
Greenland.
Rob Raker
Lakewood, CO
On Saturday, February 13, 2021 at 9:22:00 AM UTC-7 Bryan Guarente wrote:

> COBirders,
> It has been an interesting three weeks in the eastern provinces of 
> Canada.  Newfoundland, New Brunswick, and Nova Scotia have had an influx of 
> Redwings <https://www.audubon.org/field-guide/bird/redwing> (*Turdus 
> iliacus*; the European species, not the blackbirds we know and love).  
> There have been 6 different instances of Redwings spread across those three 
> under-birded provinces (eBird map of Redwings in North America 
> <https://ebird.org/map/redwin?neg=true&env.minX=-76.05414250153214&env.minY=38.24833580700198&env.maxX=-42.304142501532134&env.maxY=52.12793756350506&zh=true&gp=true&ev=Z&mr=1-12&bmo=1&emo=12&yr=all>).
>   
> Ornithologically, this is significant.  Meteorologically, this is also 
> significant.  The Polar Vortex has been mentioned in many circles recently 
> in relation to the cold we are feeling Friday through the weekend.  There 
> was a strong wobble in the polar vortex recently that led to a strongly 
> different pattern of winds over the North Atlantic Ocean.  This has caused 
> a long period where there have been relatively consistent *easterly* 
> winds from England/Iceland to the northeast reaches of North America.  This 
> is backwards from the normal pattern of westerly (from west to east) winds 
> we expect to see in the Mid-latitudes.
>
> In all of the following web links, make sure you remember that this is on 
> a globe, so you will need to orient yourself appropriately to the 
> latitude/longitude lines to understand the winds.  
>
> Here's an example of the backwards pattern:
>
> https://earth.nullschool.net/#2021/01/27/1100Z/wind/isobaric/850hPa/orthographic=-29.90,55.54,835
>
> Sighting #1 showed up in New Brunswick for a two hour period then 
> disappeared (1/21).
>
> https://earth.nullschool.net/#2021/01/20/2000Z/wind/isobaric/850hPa/orthographic=-30.97,52.95,835
> . 
>
> Sighting #2: showed up in Newfoundland on 1/25 in St John's:
>
> https://earth.nullschool.net/#2021/01/24/1900Z/wind/isobaric/850hPa/orthographic=-30.97,52.95,835
>
> Sighting #3: showed up in Newfoundland on 1/29 in Stephensville:
>
> https://earth.nullschool.net/#2021/01/28/2100Z/wind/isobaric/850hPa/orthographic=-30.97,52.95,835
>   
> This one makes meteorological sense, but it isn't a strong case.  I am 
> guessing this one was already local and showed up to where someone reported 
> it. 
>
> Sighting #4: showed up in Maine on 2/1:
>
> https://earth.nullschool.net/#2021/01/31/2100Z/wind/isobaric/850hPa/orthographic=-30.97,52.95,835.
>  
> This one is another case of possible dispersion to somewhere that it was 
> reported at a later date than when it probably showed up.  But we are still 
> in the same type of weather pattern with winds out of Iceland/England which 
> would dictate some movements like this if a bird leaves those 
> island nations.  
>
> Sighting #5: showed up in Wolfville, Nova Scotia on 2/3:
>
> https://earth.nullschool.net/#2021/02/02/1900Z/wind/isobaric/850hPa/orthographic=-30.97,52.95,835.
>  
> This is a more typical winter pattern for the North Atlantic and NE North 
> America.  This seems to be a wandering of one of the birds already in North 
> America in my mind.  The wind pattern was NOT conducive for more Redwings 
> to be coming to this side of the pond.
>
> Sighting #6 and #7: showed up on the same day (2/12) in Crystal Crescent 
> Beach, Nova Scotia and in Crow Neck Beach, Nova Scotia:
>
> https://earth.nullschool.net/#2021/02/12/0500Z/wind/isobaric/850hPa/orthographic=-30.97,52.95,835
>
> And as a weird side note, there has also been a Redwing that showed up in 
> Victoria, British Columbia yesterday (2/12) as well.  There are two 
> subspecies of Redwing (*T.i.iliacus and T.i.coburni*).  If these birds 
> are identified to subspecies, it would be interesting to see if the British 
> Columbia bird is of the *coburni *subspecies as that one breeds in 
> Iceland and winters in far western Europe as opposed to the mainland 
> Eurasia subspecies *T. i. iliacus*.  Either subspecies is possible in the 
> US/Canada, but the *coburni *subspecies would be exceptional in British 
> Columbia and would lead one to believe that this bird likely crossed the 
> entirety of the Atlantic, THEN all of Canada to reach the B.C. coast.  It 
> isn't that likely from the wind pattern, but possible.  It is much more 
> likely that the B.C. bird is of the other subspecies and likely came from 
> Asia rather than Europe.  
>
> Hopefully this was fun arm-chair birding while it is cold out.  If there 
> are any questions about this, please ask.  This is a fun time to explore 
> old records and dig in on winter vagrants.  
>
> Good birding to you,
> Bryan
>
> Bryan Guarente
> Meteorologist/Instructional Designer
> UCAR/The COMET Program
> Boulder, CO
>

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