You know what I'm going to say.  I suspect much of this is about food.  Animals 
depend on plants.  Plants suffered late freezes in spring 2020 (no fruit or 
seed set for most woody plants), an early hard freeze last September 
immediately on the heels of days with high temps near 100, and then threw their 
spring development into reverse back in mid-Feb when it hit -20 to in excess of 
-30 in some places.  Insects no doubt suffered directly or are waiting for the 
plants just like we're waiting for the warblers.  Most of the neotrops we long 
for eat insects.  Add to that the fact the eastern plains is into the second 
decade of a drought.  Can you imagine a bird that is coming north looking at 
what western MX and TX and NM look like and deciding to just fly north for 
hundreds and hundreds of miles thru more of the same?  The definition of 
insanity describes that, and most birds aren't insane.  Humans, maybe, but not 
birds.  Maybe more birds are diverting up the west side of the Divide, or maybe 
more are going right up the spine.  I suspect the answer is a combination of 
waiting, doing the two things I just mentioned and just plain fewer individual 
birds.  If there was major mortality during fall migration, the number of 
survivors certainly didn't increase during months of wintering and the inherent 
perils of early spring migration.  Just my guesses.  Our job is to observe, 
enjoy and document what happens next.

Dave Leatherman
Fort Collins

________________________________
From: [email protected] <[email protected]> on behalf of Diana 
Beatty <[email protected]>
Sent: Friday, April 16, 2021 6:35 AM
To: Paula Hansley <[email protected]>
Cc: CObirds <[email protected]>
Subject: Re: [cobirds] Passerine migration ?

FWIW, I keep a little book recording dates of things blooming in my yard, 
weather, bird sightings, etc., and in general the dates for things this thing 
are about 10-14 days behind some other years - spring is just later in my yard 
in this year than some other years.  Denver just recorded its second-snowiest 
March on record this year and in my records, there have been fewer really 
spring-like days by quite a bit so far this year than some in the recent past.

I don't know if any of that is the reason, but just an observation.

Diana Beatty
El Paso County

On Fri, Apr 16, 2021 at 5:34 AM Paula Hansley 
<[email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:
I second David’s comment/question about why is passerine migration being late.

I have yet to see a Ruby-crowned Kinglet or Yellow-rumped Warbler.

Paula Hansley


Sent from my iPhone

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