COBirds,
It's been a while since I have made one of these posts, but it looks like
it is finally time to post again.  Monday and Tuesday of this week look
like they will include generalized pushes of birds into CO and WY from the
Southwest US.  Southeastern CO may see some Gulf migrants from the SE
direction.

If you hit the "earth" button in the bottom left of the linked pages for
more options you can add your location to the map to help with map
referencing: compass arrow on the "Control" row of buttons.  You can also
switch times if you want to control that for yourself.

*At noon on Monday*
https://earth.nullschool.net/#2022/04/11/1800Z/wind/isobaric/850hPa/orthographic=-105.12,40.19,2136/loc=-105.120,40.191
(green
circle is Longmont, CO)

   - *West of the Divide*: The connection of the SW winds to the Southwest
   US should mean a nice push of migrants with no specific convergent end
   point.  Expect to see more migrants, not necessarily anything particularly
   rare, just the usual migrants making a nice run at covering some distance.
   - *East of the Divide: *The connection to long-distance migrants just
   isn't there on the eastern portion of the state at this time.  Expect
   short-distance migrants and probably some raptor movement.

*12 hours later (Tuesday at midnight)*
https://earth.nullschool.net/#2022/04/12/0600Z/wind/isobaric/850hPa/orthographic=-105.12,40.19,2136/loc=-107.210,40.763
(Best
convergence pattern in CO at the Green Circle)

   - *West of the Divide: *The pattern on the West Slope hasn't changed
   much except for adding some convergence on a line from Grand Junction
   through Craig, up to the CO/WY border.  This looks like the best area for
   bird convergence and thus increased diversity and numbers around the state
   at this time.
   - *East of the Divide: *The connection to long-distance migration has
   now been made.  There are multiple weak convergence lines on the Eastern
   Plains that will cause some increases in bird density, but the final
   destination for those birds is likely into WY as there is nothing to stop
   them from continuing on that path.

*6 hours later (Tuesday morning at 6am)*
https://earth.nullschool.net/#2022/04/12/1200Z/wind/isobaric/850hPa/orthographic=-105.12,40.19,2136/loc=-108.364,37.407
(Best
west slope convergence in CO at the Green Circle near slightly east of
Cortez).

   - *West of the Divide: *The northwest corner of the state has been
   cut-off from migration at this time, so the migrant convergence was
   short-lived but there may be some new birds in the northwest of the state.
   The rest of the west slope is still open for business though so expect a
   nice push throughout the morning and into day.  The above map is around
   sun-up, so this is likely the time that the night migrants will put down
   and the best convergence is near Cortez, CO.  There may be a weak frontal
   passage at the time as well which is a good indication for birds stopping
   their migration at this location.
   - *East of the Divide: *At this time, the entire eastern Plains and
   Foothills of CO are open for general movement of birds, with no particular
   convergence within CO.  Expect the Southwestern US migrants at this point.

*6 hours later (Tuesday at noon)*
https://earth.nullschool.net/#2022/04/12/1800Z/wind/isobaric/850hPa/orthographic=-105.12,40.19,2136/loc=-105.120,40.191
(Green
circle back in Longmont)

   - *West of the Divide: *Now the entire west slope is cut off from
   migration as the winds are now entirely out of the NW.
   - *East of the Divide: *The green circle of Longmont is right at the
   cold frontal passage on the eastern Plains/Foothills.  The winds to the
   south and east of the front are running parallel to the front, so the
   convergence isn't enhanced much for making a specific migrant trap better
   than any other.

*6 hours later (Tuesday 6pm)*
https://earth.nullschool.net/#2022/04/13/0000Z/wind/isobaric/850hPa/orthographic=-105.12,40.19,2136/loc=-105.120,40.191

   - *All of CO: *We're all cut off from migrants at this point since the
   winds are either westerly or northwesterly for the majority of the state
   and the backward trajectories don't point to good migrant source regions
   for this time of year.

So the message overall is, if you are in SW CO near Cortez/Durango on
Tuesday morning, keep your eyes peeled for more diversity and increased
numbers.  If you are on the east slope, you have as good a chance as anyone
else in getting migrants on Tuesday morning.  Nowhere specific will be
favored by the weather.  Remember Dave Leatherman's mantra though, "find
the food and find the birds."

Hope this helps you net some good birds over the next couple days.  Keep me
honest by reporting new birds and nothing new and no changes.  All data is
useful in that regard.

Thanks,
Bryan

Bryan Guarente
Meteorologist/Instructional Designer
UCAR/The COMET Program
Boulder, CO

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