Well said Nick.

You asked a good question.   It looks like the number of cores is now
about to replace the intrinsic speed of the processors although they
will still continue to get faster - but perhaps at a much slower rate.  

It will be interesting to see what happens.    For some reason it
doesn't seem likely that cheap $300 computers will be available any time
soon that has more than just a few cores - UNLESS software changes to
keep pace.    Unless you are doing development and testing - I don't
believe the average consumer is going to keep 128 cores busy and the
market will no doubt respond to that.  

Of course I know that gaming machines are popular and the gaming
enthusiast thirst for power.  So perhaps this will continue to drive the
market.

- Don




terry mcintyre wrote:
> From: Nick Wedd <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
>
> In message <[EMAIL PROTECTED]
> <mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]>>, Petr Baudis
> <[EMAIL PROTECTED] <mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]>> writes
>
> >>  are there any limits (set by either rules or ethiquette) on power of
> >>the machines running the bots? Or noone cares? I wonder if it's ok to
> >>use a 16-core opteron-packed machine to run the bot or something of the
> >>scale of a reasonable modern desktop would be more appropriate.
>
> >The rules say, there are no limits.  Etiquette says that, if you do use
> >a 16-core opteron-packed machine or whatever, you should tell me, so
> >that I can mention it in my report on the event.
>
> >This used not to be a significant issue.  Before the advent of UCT,
> >doubling or even 32-folding the processor power did not produce a big
> >increase in playing strength.  Now it does, and so I should perhaps
> >reconsider this.
>
> Deep Blue, which beat Kasparov, was a purpose-built supercomputer. I
> think we should be delighted that computer Go programs now make use of
> some heavy iron. If the first shodan-strength Go computer requires a
> sheikh's ransom, average Joes will purchase the same capability a
> decade later. In 2007, almost all computers are dual-core; quads are
> quite affordable; the 8-way Mac Pro is "a reasonable modern desktop"
> for some; a 16-way rackmount server is about $7-8k, not at all
> excessive for a research project. The SC072 is available for $15k.
> Following Moore's Law, these prices will plummet further. 16 cores may
> be "a reasonable modern desktop" in 2008, certainly by 2009.
>
> I can understand some concern about a "level playing field", but there
> are likely to be a lot of 8-way competitors this year, and 16-way the
> next, and so forth - you'd have to keep raising the bar every year.
> This sort of hardware is on hand for many go enthusiasts. Larger
> clusters should be welcomed. If Sicortex were to enter a program
> optimized for their SC5832, that would surely spur competitors to
> eliminate wasted cycles and improve search efficiency! The power of
> the SC5832 is about 8 doublings from the desktops of well-heeled
> hobbyists - perhaps 12 years away.
>
> It would be interesting to test several conjectures. Do current
> algorithms scale to many (hundreds or thousands of cores)? Do elo
> ratings scale with the number of cores? The present course of computer
> hardware evolution suggests that manycore computers are our future;
> the answers to such questions will drive the programs of tomorrow.
>
>
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