On Fri, Oct 16, 2009 at 08:55:34PM +0200, "Ingo Althöfer" wrote:
> In the year 2000 I bought the book
> "EZ-GO: Oriental Strategy in a Nutshell",
> by Bruce and Sue Wilcox. Ki Press; 1996.
>
> I can only recommend it for the many fresh ideas.
> A few days ago I found time again to read in it.
>
> This time I was impressed by Bruce Wilcox's strange
> opening "Great Wall", where Black starts with a loose
> wall made of 5 stones, spanning over the whole board.
>
> Bruce proposes to play this setup as a surprise weapon,
> even against stronger opponents.
>
> Now I made some autoplay tests, starting from the end position
> given in the appendix of this mail.
> * one game with Leela 3.16; Black won.
> * four games with MFoG 12.016; two wins each for Black and White.
> So there is some indiciation that the Great Wall works even
> for bots, who are not affected by psychology.
In general, especially in environment so stochastic as MCTS, these are
awfully small samples. To get even into a +-10% confidence interval, you
need at least 100 (that is, ONE HUNDRED) games. Otherwise, the results
aren't statistically meaningful at all, as I have myself painfully
discovered so often ;-) - they can be too heavily distorted.
--
Petr "Pasky" Baudis
A lot of people have my books on their bookshelves.
That's the problem, they need to read them. -- Don Knuth
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