Petr Baudis asked: > I'm confused. What do you mean by "This is evidence in the 95% > region"? 3/4 has confidence interval from 19% to 99%, 0/4 has confidence > interval from 0% to 60%.
Assume for simplicity that both A and B have a 50 % winning chance for each single game against C. The cases with "score difference 7 or higher in favour of A" are: 8 games mean, that each single result has probability (2 to the power -8). So we have for the possible scores 3-1 and 0-4 -- prob= 4*(2 to the power -8) 4-0 and 1-3 -- prob= 4*(2 to the power -8) 4-0 and 4-0 -- prob= 1*(2 to the power -8) in total prob= 9/256 = 3.5 % Other elementary winning probability instead of 50 % give similar results. Ingo. Hint for reading: the Vieweg book of Ernst A. Heinz on computer chess (testing). -- Sicherer, schneller und einfacher. Die aktuellen Internet-Browser - jetzt kostenlos herunterladen! http://portal.gmx.net/de/go/chbrowser _______________________________________________ computer-go mailing list computer-go@computer-go.org http://www.computer-go.org/mailman/listinfo/computer-go/
