-Caveat Lector-

from:
http://www.aci.net/kalliste/
<A HREF="http://www.aci.net/kalliste/">The Home Page of J. Orlin Grabbe</A>
-----

Bill Clinton: Beijing's "Man in Washington"

Chinese Intelligence Supplied Money for Clinton's Re-election

Only traitors would obey this "Commander-in-Chief"

WASHINGTON--The chief of China's military intelligence secretly directed
funds from Beijing to help reelect President Clinton in 1996, former
Democratic fund-raiser Johnny Chung has told federal investigators.
Chung says he met three times with the intelligence official, Gen. Ji
Shengde, who ordered $300,000 deposited into the Torrance businessman's
bank account to subsidize campaign donations intended for Clinton,
according to sources familiar with Chung's sealed statements to federal
prosecutors.

During their initial meeting on Aug. 11, 1996, in Hong Kong, Ji conveyed
to Chung the Chinese government's specific interest in supporting
Clinton:

"We like your president," Ji said, according to sources familiar with
Chung's grand jury testimony. Chung testified that he was introduced to
the intelligence chief by the daughter of China's retired senior
military officer.

Chung's testimony has provided investigators the first direct link
between a senior Chinese government official and illicit foreign
contributions that were funneled into Clinton's 1996 reelection effort.
It is the strongest evidence to emerge--in two years of federal
investigations--that the highest levels of the Chinese government sought
to influence the U.S. election process.

Key aspects of Chung's testimony, which has not been made public, have
been corroborated by financial records in the United States and Hong
Kong, according to law enforcement and other sources.

It is illegal for U.S. political parties or candidates to accept
contributions from foreign sources. Only a portion of the $300,000 made
it into Democratic campaign coffers, records show.

A spokesman for China's embassy in Washington denied any involvement in
the 1996 elections.

"We are very categoric in our denial of these allegations," said the
spokesman, Yu Shuning. "All these allegations about so-called Chinese
government officials' political contributions into U.S. campaigns are
sheer fabrications."

This week, Chinese Prime Minister Zhu Rongji is scheduled to meet
Clinton in Washington and attend a state dinner in Zhu's honor at the
White House. Zhu will make the first stop of his U.S. visit in Los
Angeles on Tuesday.

On Friday, White House spokesman Jim Kennedy said the administration had
no knowledge about the source of Chung's donations during the 1996
campaign and declined to comment on "allegations regarding intelligence
matters."

Chung, 44, a Taiwan-born American citizen who lives in Artesia, Calif.,
was one of the most prominent figures in the 1996 campaign finance
scandal. He contributed more than $400,000 to various Democratic
campaigns and causes, visited the White House no fewer than 50 times and
brought numerous Chinese associates to events with the president and
First Lady Hillary Rodham Clinton.

He pleaded guilty last year to election law violations and became the
first major figure to cooperate with a Justice Department investigation
of campaign finance abuses, including a probe into improper foreign
donations. A number of contributors have been indicted in the scandal.

Chung's assistance earned him a strong recommendation for leniency,
resulting in a sentence of probation and community service in December.
Chung has told friends that he would like to write a book about his
experiences.

Gen. Ji, the Chinese intelligence chief, was named by Chung in sworn
grand jury testimony and in statements made to Justice Department
investigators during extensive interviews from December 1997 through
March 1998. Chung also turned over cartons of financial records.

Chung told investigators that he and Ji were brought together by Liu
Chaoying, the daughter of retired Gen. Liu Huaqing. At the time, she was
a Chung business partner as well as a lieutenant colonel in the People's
Liberation Army.

Leads Provided by Chung Pursued


Federal prosecutors assigned to the Justice Department's
campaign-finance task force are pursuing leads provided by Chung. They
praised Chung's cooperation in U.S. District Court papers that remain
sealed, in part, due to national security concerns, sources said.

Chung's relationship with federal authorities took a dramatic turn last
spring when teams of federal agents moved him and his family into
protective custody, law enforcement sources told The Times.

The FBI feared for Chung's safety after he received veiled threats and
bribe offers from individuals pressing him to keep silent about his
China dealings. Those concerns grew after the FBI received information
from overseas indicating that Chung could be in danger.

For 21 days in May and June, Chung and his family were kept under
24-hour guard in hotels near Los Angeles International Airport by teams
of heavily armed FBI agents. And, as recently as two weeks ago, special
agents again secluded the Chung family in a Torrance hotel for three
days over still-unexplained safety concerns.

FBI officials in Washington and Los Angeles declined to discuss any of
the actions or security measures. But former FBI Director William H.
Webster told The Times that taking such steps in a campaign finance
investigation would be highly unusual.

"This account suggests the FBI was taking this matter very seriously as
a credible threat to this man and his family," said Webster, who also
formerly headed the CIA.

Justice Department spokesman Myron Marlin refused to comment Friday
because of "an ongoing investigation."

Law enforcement officials said that the investigation remains highly
sensitive but refused to provide details or discuss the prospect for
indictments.

Chung declined to comment for this article, except to say that he has
"already told the whole truth to the grand jury." His attorney, Brian A.
Sun, who also declined to be interviewed, added that Chung has
"fulfilled his obligations to provide complete and accurate information"
to investigators.

Interviews with knowledgeable sources and documents obtained by The
Times also disclosed that:

* Soon after returning home from Hong Kong and his meeting with Ji,
Chung hired the Chinese intelligence chief's son, then a UCLA student,
to work at his Torrance fax business in late 1996.

* Chung began providing information to federal prosecutors earlier than
previously known--a full year before he had reached a plea agreement
with the Justice Department in March 1998. Investigators were given
access to Chung's Hong Kong bank records to assist their efforts to
trace the $300,000 deposit back to its origins. Most of the money never
got to the Democratic Party on Clinton's behalf.

* Chung has told investigators that Liu Chaoying said she and Ji also
were relying on others to funnel funds into Democratic campaigns.

Ji works directly for Xiong Guangkai, the deputy chief of staff of the
People's Liberation Army, who supervises all intelligence and foreign
policy for the army. Xiong is a politically powerful figure in China and
a close ally of Chinese President Jiang Zemin.

In Beijing, an officer at the central National Defense Ministry, which
oversees the army, denied any connection between Ji and Chung in
providing U.S. campaign donations.

"This matter is groundless," said the officer, who spoke on the
condition that he not be named.

The disclosures linking China's military intelligence chief to donations
to Democrats in 1996 are likely to complicate the already troubled
relationship between Washington and Beijing.

Members of Congress are clamoring for a reassessment of relations with
Beijing over both trade and human rights issues. The U.S. government
also is investigating allegations that China engaged in espionage to
steal sensitive nuclear military secrets from the Los Alamos National
Laboratory in New Mexico.

Previously, the only publicly known link between the Chinese government
and illicit funding for Clinton's reelection was an indirect tie through
Liu, the lieutenant colonel and former Chung business associate.

Her role in providing Chinese army money to Chung for campaign donations
was first reported by the New York Times in May.

Liu did not respond Friday to questions sent by the Los Angeles Times to
her office in Hong Kong.

Now, disclosure of the $300,000 that Ji reportedly earmarked for
Clinton's campaign implicates the highest echelon of China's
intelligence apparatus in a covert plan to influence the presidential
election.

The $300,000 deposited into Chung's account in the Overseas Trust Bank
in August 1996--three months before the November election--was hung up
temporarily because it had to be converted from U.S. dollars to Hong
Kong currency. One source told The Times that the extra step associated
with the exchange later helped federal investigators trace the funds.

Asked what evidence corroborated Chung's account of his meetings with
Ji, one law enforcement source familiar with the investigation said
tersely: "Follow the money."

Three Checks to Democratic Committee


Five weeks after receiving the Chinese funds, federal election records
show, Chung donated $35,000 in three checks to the Democratic National
Committee, which helped reelect Clinton. The remaining funds were
transferred into one of Chung's California bank accounts; it is not
known how that money was used.

Rick Hess, a spokesman for the DNC, said that the party "was unaware of
any supposed relationship" between Chung and the Chinese government at
the time of the contributions. In 1997, the Democrats returned a total
of $366,000 donated by Chung over a three-year period.

Shortly after the Nov. 5 election, Chung became the subject of intense
public scrutiny after the Los Angeles Times disclosed his involvement in
the campaign finance scandal. From that point on, Chung made no further
contributions.

The existence of a covert Chinese government plan to support Clinton has
been hotly debated since Sen. Fred Thompson (R-Tenn.) opened Senate
investigative hearings in 1997 with a charge that there was such a
scheme.

Republicans repeatedly claimed that the Chinese sought to help Clinton
defeat former Sen. Bob Dole, but they have failed to prove it. The
president's defenders blamed some improper foreign donations on a group
of overzealous supporters who exploited loopholes in the campaign
finance system. The DNC has denied any knowledge of a "China plan."

For the last two years, China has rejected in the strongest terms any
connection to the American fund-raising scandal.

"China never interferes in other countries' internal affairs," President
Jiang told a live television audience during Clinton's trip to China
last summer.

A few weeks before Jiang's televised remarks, FBI officials had
information that led them to believe Chung might be in danger. The
agency responded by imposing extraordinary security measures to protect
its key witness: More than 40 agents were assigned to guard Chung, his
wife and three children for three weeks.

During this period when Chung and his family were kept in hiding, FBI
counterintelligence agents also monitored groups of Chinese visitors
traveling in Southern California, according to law enforcement and other
sources. At least one group was regarded by U.S. intelligence operatives
as a possible "hit squad," said one federal law enforcement official.

No attempt was made to harm Chung or his family. One federal law
enforcement source said that there is no evidence today that the
visitors were sent to target Chung.

Chung Well Known in China


Well before Johnny Chung met Gen. Ji, the businessman already was well
known in China as a man with access to the White House--a byproduct of
his financial generosity with the DNC.

Chung was particularly adept at opening the doors of the White House to
Chinese visitors who were his guests for tours and public events where
they could be photographed with Clinton.

He met Liu in July 1996. She was not only a ranking military officer but
also vice president of a Hong Kong subsidiary of China Aerospace Corp.,
a government-owned company that deals in satellite technology and
missile sales.

A business relationship between Liu and Chung flourished immediately.
They established a partnership to develop a fishery in south China. And
they formed Marswell Investment Inc. in California to develop trade in
telecommunications equipment.

Chung also helped Liu obtain visas to visit the U.S. and later arranged
a meeting for her and other Chinese associates at the Securities and
Exchange Commission.

Beijing had reason to prefer Clinton over his Republican challenger.
Historically, China preferred dealing with second-term presidents,
feeling they can be more pragmatic in the face of anti-China public
opinion.

In spring 1996, Dole endorsed creation of a ballistic missile defense
system for China's neighbors, including Taiwan. Dole also suggested
providing new defensive weapon systems to Taiwan.

Moreover, on July 6, 1996, Clinton's then national security advisor,
Anthony Lake, went to China to reassure leaders and tell them that Jiang
would be welcomed to Washington for a state visit after the election.
(Jiang came to Washington the following year.)

Twelve days later, Chung brought Liu to a Democratic fund-raiser
featuring Clinton at the private residence of Los Angeles real estate
magnate Eli Broad.

The next month, Chung traveled to China via Hong Kong. While in China,
he was summoned back to Hong Kong for a meeting that an associate
described as "important for our business," Chung told federal
investigators.

When Chung arrived in Hong Kong on Aug. 11, he was introduced to Ji by
his business partner Liu. Chung told investigators that Ji's rank and
government affiliation were not immediately apparent and that the
general used a false name during that initial encounter.

It was during this meeting that Ji observed: "We like your president,"
before talking about providing money to help the Clinton reelection
effort, Chung told investigators. Ji said he was going to provide some
funds for Liu to give to Chung, sources familiar with Chung's grand jury
testimony said.

Chung told federal investigators that he tried to tell Liu outside the
meeting that he didn't want Ji's money. Liu, in turn, attempted to
reassure Chung by telling him that they already were engaged in similar
transactions with others serving as conduits for Chinese funds to
support Clinton's reelection.

Within a couple of days, Liu moved $300,000 into Chung's Hong Kong bank
account. She told him it was from Ji. By that time, Chung was aware of
Ji's position and decided he could not refuse the money, according to
his account to investigators.

Like Liu, Ji is the offspring of a politically prominent father. Ji
Pengfei served as China's foreign minister from 1972 to 1974 and later
as a vice chairman of the National People's Congress. The elder Ji also
supervised negotiations over the future of Hong Kong and helped draft
the Basic Law under which Hong Kong is ruled.

More significantly, the younger Ji is head of Qingbaobu, the wing of the
general staff of the People's Liberation Army that is in charge of
military intelligence. His responsibilities also include military
intelligence in Hong Kong.

Gen. Ji, who is in his mid-50s, was promoted to this post in 1992 during
a closed five-day session of the Central Military Commission chaired at
the time by future President Jiang. Ji has kept a low profile since that
time and seldom appears in news accounts.

After Ji's initial meeting with Chung, the two men joined Liu on another
occasion for dinner. Details from that session could not be obtained.

A third encounter took place in Beijing in late September 1996. Chung
carried a congratulatory letter to a Beijing University student from
U.S. Secretary of Education Richard W. Riley and sought help from Liu in
finding the student. She arrived at Chung's hotel with Ji. No further
details about that meeting were available.

In the U.S., the campaign finance scandal was about to break. By late
October 1996, Chung was, as he said in an interview later, "too hot to
touch." The controversy surrounding Chung intensified as the
foreign-money scandal heated up. He never again spoke directly with Liu,
he told investigators. Other Chinese partners asked Chung to resign from
business ventures.

In March 1997, Chung signed a letter granting federal prosecutor Michael
McCaul authority to obtain all of his Hong Kong bank records, including
documentation related to the Ji and Liu transactions. That paper trail
confirmed key aspects of Chung's story implicating China's military
intelligence, sources said.

Chung's official cooperation with the Justice Department began with
extensive interviews and legal proffers at the end of 1997. He told
investigators about his meetings with Ji and identified the general from
an FBI photo lineup, sources said.

Chung Agrees to Terms


In March 1998, Chung agreed to terms with prosecutors. He would plead
guilty to misdemeanor election law violations, as well as felony tax
evasion and bank fraud, and cooperate with investigators. But the level
of cooperation soon went well beyond answering questions and turning
over records.

In April, about a month after press accounts reported his deal with
federal investigators, Chung was approached by a San Gabriel Valley
businessman, who said he was an associate of Liu.

That session was secretly recorded by the FBI and videotaped with a
camera hidden in a clock. In a conversation conducted in Chinese, the
businessman offered Chung a carrot and a stick.

According to sources familiar with the investigation, the businessman
advised Chung to keep silent about his contacts with Ji. In return,
Chung would receive funds sufficient "to live very comfortably." But the
businessman suggested that Chung and his family could have safety
concerns if the offer was ignored, the sources said.

The threats were veiled but ominous, the sources said, declining to
provide details.

Furthermore, the businessman advised Chung to go to jail if necessary,
assuring Chung that friends in high places would support him. The
businessman even suggested that Chung could expect to be pardoned by the
president.

On May 15, Chung carried a concealed recording device into another
meeting with the businessman, sources said. That same day, the New York
Times published a story reporting for the first time that Chung had
linked Liu and the Chinese military to some of his DNC donations.

Later that day, U.S. counterintelligence agents received some
unspecified information that caused concern for Chung's immediate
safety.

Within hours, Chung and his family, including two children of preschool
age, were escorted by heavily armed FBI agents to the Embassy Suites on
Imperial Highway in El Segundo.

The stay at the Embassy Suites was brief. During breakfast the next
morning in the hotel dining area, an FBI agent sitting across from Chung
looked up from his coffee to see a news report that showed a large image
of the man he was protecting on a big-screen TV.

The FBI, believing that its hide-out may have been compromised, promptly
moved the Chung family to the nearby Summerfield Inn, also in El
Segundo.

Thereafter, the Chung family was largely restricted to a hotel suite.
Whenever Chung left the room, he was instructed to wear a baseball cap
and sunglasses to disguise his appearance.

Chung's eldest daughter, a top student at Cerritos High School, was
unable to return for final exams. An FBI agent arranged with the school
principal for the girl to skip the tests. Another FBI bodyguard later
escorted her to graduation rehearsals.

Chung began to chafe at the security restrictions.

"They had agents baby-sitting him around the clock," said a federal law
enforcement official. "He got tired of living like that. . . . It was
like he was under house arrest."

Federal Agents Keep Vigil


Even after Chung and his family returned to their Artesia home in time
for their daughter's June 15 graduation ceremony, federal agents kept a
security vigil in the neighborhood, law enforcement sources confirmed.

Chung still was receiving federal protection last summer when Clinton
visited China and President Jiang called claims of Chinese interference
in the U.S. political system "very absurd and ridiculous."

Late last fall, Chung appeared before the Washington grand jury
investigating campaign finance abuses to provide his account of contacts
with Ji that sharply contradicts Jiang's denial.

Chung's odyssey to the center of international scandal and intrigue had
an unlikely beginning. In the mid-1980s, he was a busboy at a Holiday
Inn in the San Gabriel Valley, an intense young immigrant from Taiwan
struggling to overcome a heavy accent and empty pockets.

By the early 1990s, he had built a small but profitable company around a
service that provided mass fax distribution for corporate and government
clients. Among his first customers was then-Gov. Pete Wilson's office.

By 1994, Chung was trading money for access to the highest levels of the
U.S. government.

Chung "got caught up in this system," his attorney, Sun, told a federal
judge just before he was sentenced last December. It was Chung's way of
opening doors and getting to "hobnob with the big boys and girls."

U.S. District Judge Manuel L. Real in Los Angeles expressed skepticism
at claims made by DNC officials that they had no idea Chung's money
might have had foreign origins.

He said if they "didn't know what was going on, they are the dumbest
politicians" in his experience. Real then sentenced Chung to community
service instead of a prison term.

Since his guilty plea, Chung has fallen on hard times. He owes about
$500,000 in back taxes and legal fees, and his business is ailing, Sun
acknowledged.

Chung has made informal contacts with publishers proposing a book about
his experiences trading money for access to the White House, and about
his personal, religious and political passage. No contract has been
signed or negotiated, Sun said.

Times staff writers Jim Mann in Washington and Henry Chu in Beijing, and
researcher Janet Lundblad in Los Angeles contributed to this article.

Hear Rempel discuss this story on The Times' Web site at:
http://www.latimes.com/chung

------------------------------------------------------------------------

Chung and China


1994 Aug. 2

Chung gives his first $11,000 to the Democratic National Committee at
President Clinton's 48th birthday party. He will donate a total of
$366,000 to the DNC by the 1996 election.

Dec. 20

Chung squires a Chinese beer maker to meet Clinton at a White House
Christmas party, helping to establish Chung's ability to get Chinese
access to Clinton. He will make 50 White House visits.

1995 March 11

Chung brings six business associates to the Oval Office for Clinton's
weekly radio address.

1996 June

Chung visits China and meets Liu Chaoying, a lieutenant colonel in the
Chinese military and an executive of a Chinese government-owned
aerospace company.

July 18

After helping Liu obtain a visa, Chung brings Liu to a Democratic
fund-raising dinner with Clinton at a private home in Los Angeles.

Aug. 9

Chung and Liu form Marswell Investment Inc. in Torrance, Calif.

Aug. 11

In Hong Kong, Liu introduces Chung to Gen. Ji Shengde, chief of Chinese
military intelligence. Ji, using an assumed name, asks Chung to act as a
conduit for campaign donations to help reelect Clinton.

Aug. 14

A $300,000 wire transfer arrives in Chung's Hong Kong bank account sent
by Liu at the direction of Ji. Chung later donates a portion of these
funds to the DNC.

September

Chung returns to China, where he meets Liu and Ji again.

1997 March

Chung gives access to his Hong Kong bank account to federal
investigators to assist their efforts to trace the $300,000 to its
origins.

December

Chung opens formal negotiations with prosecutors and does first of
numerous interviews with them.

1998 March 5

Chung agrees to plead guilty to felony tax evasion and bank fraud
unrelated to fund-raising and misdemeanor election law violations.

April

An associate of Liu offers money and a veiled threat to persuade Chung
to keep silent about his contacts with Ji. The FBI records the encounter
on a hidden video camera. Chung, wearing an FBI wire, meets with the Liu
associate periodically over the next several months.

May 15

The New York Times reports that Chung told federal investigators that
the Chinese army was the source of funds given him by Liu for 1996
Democratic contributions.

Fearing for Chung's safety, the FBI abruptly takes him and his family to
hotels near Los Angeles International Airport, where they are protected
by heavily armed agents for 21 days.

May-June

The FBI monitors two groups of Chinese visitors traveling in Southern
California, at least one of which was regarded by intelligence
operatives as a possible "hit squad." No attempt is made to harm Chung
or his family.

Dec. 15

U.S. District Judge Manuel L. Real sentences Chung to five years'
probation for funneling illegal contributions into the 1996 election
campaign. Real says he's "surprised that the attorney general has
eschewed appointment of a special prosecutor." The Justice Department
endorses a lesser sentence than called for by federal guidelines because
Chung provided valuable leads.

1999 March

News accounts that the Chinese stole sensitive nuclear technology from
the Los Alamos laboratory trigger charges that the Clinton
administration was slow to address suspicions of espionage or inform
Congress because it did not want to damage relations with Beijing.

April 8

Chinese Premier Zhu Rongji is set to meet Clinton at White House.

Sources: Government records, interviews, House Government Reform and
Oversight Committee report and news accounts

The Los Angeles Times, April 4, 1999



We Don't Want Your White House Yuppie War

Joint Chiefs Doubted Air Strategy in the Balkans

Bombing not seen as in the U.S. national interest

In the weeks before NATO against Yugoslavia, U.S. military chiefs
expressed deep reservations about the Clinton administration's approach
to Kosovo and warned that bombing alone likely would not achieve its
political aims, according to sources familiar with their thinking.
The Pentagon's senior four-star officers, meeting in closed-door
sessions in the Pentagon's secure "tank" room, argued that the
administration should use more economic sanctions and other non-military
levers to compel Belgrade to make peace in the rebellious Serbian
province before resorting to airstrikes. They also complained about what
they saw as the lack of a long-term vision for the Balkans and
questioned whether U.S. national interests there were strong enough to
merit a military confrontation.

"I don't think anybody felt like there had been a compelling argument
made that all of this was in our national interest," said one senior
officer knowledgeable about the deliberations.

Led by Gen. Henry H. Shelton, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, the
commanders challenged in particular the "domino theory" being pressed in
interagency discussions by Secretary of State Madeleine K. Albright.
"Losing" Kosovo, she and her allies in the discussions maintained, would
lead to wider destabilization in the Balkans that sooner or later would
damage U.S. interests in Europe � so better to act before it was too
late.

Ultimately, the chiefs agreed unanimously last month to go along with
airstrikes, embracing the administration's view that U.S. leadership in
NATO had to be preserved and that the looming humanitarian catastrophe
in Kosovo had to be addressed, the sources said. But the earlier
hesitations had been forwarded to President Clinton and his aides, and
reports from the White House have said doubts from the military were
weighed in the final decision to go to war.

"I think it's safe to say the Joint Chiefs had reservations," said a
senior military officer with direct knowledge of their talks. "But you
know, you make your case, and that's why we have civilian control over
the military."

Twelve days into the bombing campaign, the military leaders remain
doubtful that airstrikes alone can satisfy the larger political
objectives put forward by Clinton and other NATO leaders: stopping the
violence in Kosovo and driving Yugoslav President Slobodan Milosevic
back to the bargaining table.

They fret that the American public was not adequately prepared to accept
a prolonged air operation. But they have been frustrated, too, at the
incremental progression of the bombing, which they blame not just on bad
weather but also on the requirements of conducting war by consensus
among all 19 NATO members.

The chiefs are understood to be wary of recommending ground forces,
worried that this would evolve into yet another open-ended commitment of
U.S. troops in a foreign trouble spot. At the same time, if a political
decision were made to send ground units to combat Yugoslav troops, the
service leaders have stressed that the force should be substantial.

"The feeling now is, if you're going to go with the ground option, let's
not screw around, let's go with what needs to be done to get the job
done," one general said. "This thing about incrementally approaching it
and working our way up the ladder and hoping we can get just enough
isn't going to do it."

The views of the Joint Chiefs were gleaned from conversations with
several officers who know their thinking but declined to be named. In
contrast to Shelton and his vice chairman, Gen. Joseph W. Ralston, the
service heads � Army Gen. Dennis J. Reimer, Navy Adm. Jay Johnson, Air
Force Gen. Michael Ryan and Marine Corps Gen. Charles Krulak � do not
participate in running the war day to day. But they continue to be
consulted regularly on its course, and Shelton and Defense Secretary
William S. Cohen are supposed to relay the chiefs' views to Clinton and
his national security advisers.

>From the outset, the chiefs reportedly were skeptical of the rationale
for U.S. military involvement in Kosovo. Having struggled for the past
few years to get out of a NATO-led peacekeeping operation in Bosnia, the
commanders were reluctant to get involved in yet another ethnic conflict
in the Balkans.

The argument that instability in Kosovo would snowball into chaos in
such neighboring states as Albania, Macedonia and Bosnia and would
engender a wider war in Europe struck the chiefs as overdrawn and a poor
case for intervening. For the commanders, it carried uncomfortable
echoes of the thinking that drew the United States into the ill-fated
Vietnam War three decades ago.

The chiefs suggested pursuing other means, short of a military
confrontation with Yugoslavia, to wall off the unrest in Kosovo. They
urged more aggressive consideration of non-military measures to bring
pressure on Yugoslavia � tighter economic sanctions, for instance, or
the international indictment of Milosevic for crimes against humanity in
Bosnia.

"There were other tools that maybe just had not been exploited to the
degree they could have been," said a senior officer, reflecting the view
of the chiefs.

Asked about the commanders' doubts, a spokesman for the Joint Chiefs,
Navy Capt. Steve Pietropaoli, said that none of the military leaders
dissented when presented with the NATO strike plan. "They all agreed
that the operation envisioned could achieve the articulated objective,"
he said.

By then, however, the military mission had been framed narrowly � "to
degrade Serbian capability to conduct repressive actions against ethnic
Albanians in Kosovo." There was no specific requirement to halt the
relentless Serb drive to push ethnic Albanians out of the province, nor
was there a mandate to bomb Milosevic back to the bargaining table.

Still, the chiefs understood that the military campaign would be judged
against these larger political objectives and, very likely, would fall
short.

As the Clinton administration and other NATO governments geared up for
action, the chiefs warned about the limitations of a campaign restricted
to air power. They said Yugoslavia's notoriously foul weather this time
of year, rugged terrain and extensive air defense network would
complicate the strikes and raise the risks to pilots.

Some of their concerns emerged publicly at a March 18 hearing before the
Senate Armed Services Committee, at which the chiefs stressed the
likelihood of U.S. casualties. Privately, even the staunchest advocates
of air power among the four-star commanders doubted that airstrikes
alone could do much to budge Milosevic in the near term. They noted the
challenges of sending planes against widely dispersed ground forces that
were carrying out door-to-door terror. They spoke about the difficulty
of hitting Yugoslav troops and equipment without striking Albanian
refugees mixed among them.

"The position of the chiefs was: There was no guarantee that air would
do it," one general said. "There were people who felt they knew
Milosevic, or knew him better than we knew him � that the threat of
bombing, or certainly bombing itself, would make him come to the table.
But it just hasn't worked that way."

For all their skepticism about air power, the chiefs never gave serious
consideration to sending in ground troops, at least not U.S. troops.

"There was no political consensus for it, either here in the United
States or in NATO," one senior officer explained. "And the thinking was,
if what's happening in Kosovo is more in the vital national interest of
the Europeans, shouldn't they be the ones clamoring to put together a
ground plan to go in."

Despite reports that NATO now is considering a ground force to establish
a protectorate for hundreds of thousands of displaced ethnic Albanians,
the U.S. chiefs have yet to review any specific plans for such an
operation, the sources said. But the commanders have discussed the
general proposition that U.S. ground units may eventually need to enter
the fight as part of an expanded NATO force to help root out the tens of
thousands of Yugoslav troops in Kosovo.

The Washington Post, April 5, 1999
-----
Aloha, He'Ping,
Om, Shalom, Salaam.
Em Hotep, Peace Be,
Omnia Bona Bonis,
All My Relations.
Adieu, Adios, Aloha.
Amen.
Roads End
Kris

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gives no endorsement to the validity of posts, and always suggests to readers;
be wary of what you read. CTRL gives no credeence to Holocaust denial and
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Let us please be civil and as always, Caveat Lector.
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