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-Caveat Lector-

Who Is Running This Choo-Choo Train?
Children At The Helm
By Fred Reed

http://www.fredoneverything.net/WhatPrice.shtml

June 18, 2005

The crumbling has begun, methinks. Congressmen, a few only now, speak of 
withdrawal from Iraq. A small thing, but for the White House a worrisome 
step toward vertebracy in that body of polyps. The numbers of the 
dissenting will grow as they see that they do not get hurt. Military 
recruiting is way down, and will stay down: The gullibility of the young 
cannot forever be relied upon. The House has summoned the courage to vote 
against parts of the Patriot Act. The president’s polls drop and drop.

The crumbling has begun, methinks.

Is this surprising? If I may risk repeating myself tiresomely, the way to 
defeat the American military is to avoiding giving it clear targets, keep 
the body bags flowing into Dover or Travis, and wait. It is that simple. 
The insurgents know this. They are doing it, and it is working. Five 
Marines today, three tomorrow, twelve GIs one week, nine another. On and 
on. So far we have killed 1700 of our soldiers, closing in on 2000. Sooner 
or later, even Middle America will notice.

Is victory still possible, if it ever were? The military can’t stop the 
bleeding, or it would have. Short of a miracle, of perhaps a serious attack 
within the United States, actually or apparently by terrorists, the 
casualties will continue. The public will weary of the war, and it will all 
be over. No?

Wars are marketed as involving moral principles or geo-strategic necessity, 
but they can become grudge matches, contests of vanity grown stubborn. A 
president who has led his country into a war has his ego on the line. He 
cannot easily say, “In the light of events, the adventure appears to have 
failed, and so we will return home.” The world would regard him as a fool 
and a knave. Further, humble men do not become presidents. Such a man will 
struggle on desperately, unwisely, with no real purpose any longer than to 
avoid the personal ignominy of defeat. When his pride has been engaged he 
can’t stop. For this men die.

One sees a similar approach in the gambler who, having lost his car, bets 
his house in hopes of redeeming himself.

As the news worsens the lying, begun long ago, increases. Democracies of 
course have to be lied into aggressive wars, since no one really cares 
about the form of government in an obscure and remote nation. Thus as 
losses mount, the enemy’s successes are described as defeats, as the last 
throes of a failing force. (I would not be surprised to find that Tokyo 
described the bombing of Hiroshima as a sign of American desperation.) The 
government forbids reporters to photograph the coffins, punishes soldiers 
who talk to the press. The horribly wounded are discreetly hidden. Generals 
who are not upbeat are fired. Dissidents become labeled as traitors. War 
crimes become isolated incidents: Only those which are discovered have 
occurred. Etc.

Historians tend to see wars as consequent to abstract currents of history. 
They speak of the balance of power, the clash of civilizations, of economic 
rivalry, and it all sounds dispassionate, reasoned, and occasionally 
majestic. It might be more accurate to say that wars are the hobbies of 
half-informed children who have somehow come into possession of the levers 
of power. Can anyone possible believe that Mr. Bush knew anything about the 
Arab world when he set out to conquer it? That Hitler understood the 
Russians, or the Japanese Army, America?

Getting into wars is so often easier than getting out. In terms of national 
and presidential vanity, the prospects of Iraq, short always of a miracle, 
vary between bad and ghastly. If the United States pulls out, in a sort of 
exploitus reservatus, the One Remaining Superpower will be seen not to be. 
No one will be afraid of us any longer. In particular, countries like Iran 
will not be afraid. One wonders whether this may not be what Mr. bin Laden 
had in mind.

Of course in material terms the United States will not be weaker. If driven 
out of Iraq, America will still be superior in remarkable aircraft and fast 
carriers and extraordinary submarines. But submarines are of use only in 
certain kinds of wars, which the enemy will avoid. The good ship USS 
Thundertrinket can destroy Japan, yes. It cannot defeat a few thousand 
determined men with rifles. Militaries seem never to learn this.

It is curious. The French, having underestimated both the enemy and the 
potential of guerilla warfare, got thrashed at Dien Bien Phu. The 
Americans, equally full of themselves, then went into the same country and 
got similarly thrashed. The French, having learned nothing, tried again in 
Algeria, with the same result. The Israelis tried to hold down southern 
Lebanon, encountering the same problems and equally losing. The Russians, 
having seen all of this, invaded Afghanistan and got thrashed. Now the 
United States is in Iraq. For militaries, the learning curve seems to be flat.

The problem is not that soldiers are stupid. They are not. Rather it is (I 
think) that they become excessively taken with the technology and power of 
their weapons, with the computers and precision and speed, with themselves, 
and just do not stop to ponder the difficulty of killing hornets with a 
howitzer.

The future? Having restored the Vietnam complex, presumably the US will be 
very hesitant for a decade or so to throw its weight around. Then, having 
forgotten again, it will invade another country defended by only a few 
contemptible men with rifles who, in any case, will be expected to throw 
flowers.

If America loses the White House war—what? I suppose that Mr. Bin Laden 
will come out of his hole a hero in the Moslem world, laughing pointedly at 
Mr. Bush. I do not know what part he actually had in the events in New 
York, but he gets credit for them, which is enough. He would be able to say 
that he had goaded the Great Satan into a losing war in Arabia that left 
America defanged and no longer able to give orders to Moslem nations. Isn’t 
that what he set out to do?

What price nothing? A couple of thousand dead kids, countless cripples who 
will remain crippled when the current administration has been forgotten, a 
country wrecked, God knows how many dead Iraqis (I know, they don’t count), 
thousands of sisters and mothers remembering Bobby every Christmas and 
looking at his last year book from high school, a tremendous diminution in 
America’s influence and prestige as China rises, unforeseeable consequences 
in the Middle East. For what, Mr. Bush? For what?

---
Secrecy is the cornerstone of all tyranny.  Not force, but secrecy... 
censorship.  When any government, or any church, for that matter, 
undertakes to say to its subjects, "This you may not read, this you must 
not see, this you are forbidden to know," the end result is tyranny and 
oppression, no matter how holy the motives.  Mightily little force is 
needed to control a man who has been hoodwinked; Contrariwise, no amount of 
force can control a free man, a man whose mind is free.  No, not the rack, 
not fission bombs, not anything.  You cannot conquer a free man; The most 
you can do is kill him.

-Robert A. Heinlein, Revolt in 2100

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DECLARATION & DISCLAIMER
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CTRL is a discussion & informational exchange list. Proselytizing propagandic
screeds are unwelcomed. Substance—not soap-boxing—please!   These are
sordid matters and 'conspiracy theory'—with its many half-truths, mis-
directions and outright frauds—is used politically by different groups with
major and minor effects spread throughout the spectrum of time and thought.
That being said, CTRLgives no endorsement to the validity of posts, and
always suggests to readers; be wary of what you read. CTRL gives no
credence to Holocaust denial and nazi's need not apply.

Let us please be civil and as always, Caveat Lector.
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