-Caveat Lector-   <A HREF="http://www.ctrl.org/">
</A> -Cui Bono?-

         William F. Buckley, Jr. - ON THE RIGHT
                 Tuesday, February 1, 2000
------------------------------------------------------------

                   IN SEARCH OF FEMININE FAVOR

In my travel during the week, the conversation fastened on the
question of women and their vote. What first brought up the
question was the poll showing that George W. Bush had slipped
behind John McCain in popularity among Republican women voters
in New Hampshire. Bush is still ahead nationally, but there,
too, he has slipped by almost 10 points from the lead he once
enjoyed.

What is it that accounts for such movements? Are there basic
questions involved? In a conversation with a prominent author,
I was told that he had begun a novel after confronting a datum
head-on. It is that (he informed me), 70 percent of the novels
sold in America are bought by women. My friend had resolved
now to write a novel designed for women. What was the formula
he'd pursue? I wanted to know. He winked and told me to look
out for his novel when it was completed, and published.

I recalled that there had been much surprise when Vice President
George Bush tapped Dan Quayle for his vice president at the 1988
Republican convention in New Orleans. But Walter Annenberg was
not surprised. The super-competent businessman, art collector,
diplomat and philanthropist had it figured out: He said that
in the spring of 1988, Vice President Bush was running behind
the likeliest Democratic contender, Michael Dukakis, among women
voters by 12 points. Two years earlier, Dan Quayle had defeated
his Democratic opponent in Indiana in the race for senator,
winning with a 12-point advantage among women. So ... Mr. Annenberg
reasoned that Quayle would be a likely running mate.

Now perhaps that was an easy point to make in that context, given
that Quayle is Hollywood-handsome. On the other hand, George Bush
is pretty handsome. In fact, contrasted with Dukakis, especially
when wearing a helmet, Bush was Adonis running against a frog.

But however tempting it is to throw away conjectural explanations
for women's attraction to one or another candidate, there has to
be some reason for these imbalances. What is the adviser to Bush
telling him to do in the closing days of the New Hampshire
contest? He hardly has the opportunity to go to war and prove
that he can be as heroic as his opponent, or as his father.

Is there a crystallizing difference between the two in the
matter of public policies? Both men oppose abortion, though
perhaps Bush more resolutely. And anyway, many women are fervent
advocates of choice and are thinking not, Shall we go Bush or
McCain, but rather, Shall we go Bradley or Gore?

The whole business of appeal to women rose to the level of
caricature last fall when it was revealed that Al Gore had hired
himself a woman to instruct him in the special means of depicting
himself as an Alpha male, not to be confused with a mere Beta
male. The whole business was laughed out of court, but there
we are again, with rejected conjecture but without anything
solid to put in its place. How do Republicans set out to attract
women voters?

The long view of things has to come to terms with the implications
of the gender question. There is approximately zero resistance to
the idea of giving a high office to a woman, and we live in an age
in which Great Britain has had not only a queen called Elizabeth,
but a truly Elizabethan prime minister. Sprinkled about Asia there
have been women chiefs of government and of state.

In America it is probably true that some would harbor a little
skepticism about voting for a woman for president. But the
reason for that is as simple as that it is hard to imagine a
situation in which a man would fail to win the presidential
race, given that there are so many men engaged in the business
of politics. Elizabeth Dole is the only female presidential
contender since the movement by Walter Mondale in 1984 to
purchase feminine approval by lifting Geraldine Ferraro for
vice president simply failed. On the other hand, he'd have
failed, in 1984 against Ronald Reagan, if Joan of Arc had been
his running mate.

The identification of the Republican candidates with the idea
of the family has got to be the strongest point when the contest
narrows from intra-party contention to contention between Democrats
and Republicans. Whether it will be McCain or Bush we have yet to
know. But one of them will be battling Gore or Bradley. And that
will be the time responsibly to raise the question: What do we
expect in the way of behavior from our chief of state? Gore is
not responsible for the delinquencies of Clinton, but he is
associated with them. That damned spot he cannot efface, and
no focus group can teach him how to do that.

End of ON THE RIGHT

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