-Caveat Lector-

 from:  http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/WPlate/
        1998-12/26/055l-122698-idx.html


 Cure for Russia's Nuclear 'Headache' Proves to Be Painful

 Crisis, Spotty Data Hobble Bid to Secure Bomb Material

 By David Hoffman
 Washington Post Foreign Service
 Saturday, December 26, 1998; Page A01

 OBNINSK, Russia -- Igor Matveyenko slaps a plastic identification
 card up against a gray metallic square imprinted with a red "K" for
 control. In front of him, a beep sounds and a glass door slides
 open. Just beyond lies an experimental nuclear reactor and what
 Matveyenko calls "our headache."

 The headache is not the reactor itself, but little round "tablets"
 or disks containing weapons-grade plutonium and uranium. They are
 used for tests carried out at the Institute of Physics and Power
 Engineering, a prominent and once secret nuclear research institute
 here, 60 miles southwest of Moscow.

 In the building known as Fast Critical Facilities, there are
 100,000 disks, or about 10 tons of bomb-grade fissile material,
 theoretically enough to make hundreds of nuclear bombs.

 The disks, a dozen of which could easily fit into a pocket, are
 kept underground. But the old Soviet accounting system for them is
 a nightmare. About 6,000 disks have duplicate numbers. The
 Soviet-era records were kept in paper notebooks. The notebooks,
 some decades old, record the weight and the "price," an absurd
 measurement for bomb-grade material.

 In short, there is no full record of the current physical condition
 of the massive pile of uranium and plutonium disks. Stashed in
 other underground warehouses here are barrels and vaults containing
 still more fissile material.

 Today, an agonizingly difficult inventory of the disks is underway.
 In 1 1/2 years, specialists have managed to put new bar codes on a
 third of them. But the work of imprinting the bar codes is slow and
 painstaking since the disks are radioactive, and it may take years
 to complete.

 The disks are at the heart of an enormously complex, costly and
 troubled drive to protect Russia's weapons-grade uranium and
 plutonium from theft and diversion. In this city, which has long
 been identified with nuclear energy and which boasts the world's
 first commercial nuclear reactor, the effort to control nuclear
 materials has already begun with help from the United States. But
 even so, the obstacles are large. And the difficulties have been
 aggravated by the Russian economic crisis.

 "The problems of the entire industry are all here," said the
 institute's director Anatoly Zrodnikov. "Just as all the problems
 of water can be seen in a single drop, so all the problems of the
 nuclear industry are here, too."

 The Soviet Union is believed to have produced more than 1,200 tons
 of highly enriched uranium and 150 tons of plutonium. More than
 half is in weapons, but an estimated 650 tons remain scattered
 across Russia and the former Soviet republics in 50 civilian
 scientific centers and military research facilities.

 Experts have long believed that getting fissile material is the
 final barrier to building a bomb. The assumption was that it would
 take a would-be nuclear state a decade or more to create fissile
 material, and that factories to make enriched uranium or plutonium
 would be difficult to hide. But this barrier could be breached by
 purchasing or diverting existing material from Russia's warehouses.
 After the Soviet collapse, the United States began helping Russia
 secure its fissile materials through a $137-million-a-year program,
 undertaken along with Russia's Ministry of Atomic Energy, known as
 "materials protection, control and accounting." The effort has made
 some headway, but there have also been alarming reports in recent
 months that it is faltering.

 The progress is symbolized here by a simple piece of white tape
 over an emergency exit used to detect possible intruders -- and by
 the new radio in the hands of Vasily Drakin, chief of security. In
 the Soviet days, officers at closed cities were prohibited from
 using radio communications because it was feared that spies could
 detect the radio waves.

 Another sign of progress is a host of laptop computers and
 measuring devices in a thick concrete-walled room here that once
 held a reactor but is now a training center set up with aid from
 the United States and the European Union. Andrei Mozhayev, in a
 white lab coat, demonstrated a garbage can-size device that can
 quickly measure how much bomb-grade plutonium or uranium is in a
 canister without opening it.

 And at the entrance to the experimental reactor, every person goes
 through a complex security gateway that, among other things,
 examines their handprints, and takes their weight and compares it
 with a computer record. There are also plans, so far unrealized, to
 consolidate all the fissile material here into one well-guarded
 "security island," a building with extra fences and protection.

 In the reactor hall, Matveyenko pointed out a television security
 system and a special piece of equipment used to scan a whole rod of
 disks to see what kind of fissile materials are inside. These were
 also the result of Western aid, he said, but the money ran out --
 and neither is working.

 Western experts say Russia's economic crisis has also dealt a heavy
 blow to the "human factor," the guards and other mid-level workers
 who oversee tons of fissile material across the country. Moreover,
 the economic crisis has raised questions about the ability of
 Russia and the West to finish the job and protect fissile material
 stockpiles that remain vulnerable.

 According to U.S. officials with direct involvement, the
 devaluation of the ruble on Aug. 17 plunged many of Russia's
 nuclear institutes into a state of financial emergency. There were
 reports of shortages of food, clothing and housing for guards,
 widespread delays in paying workers who were operating safeguard
 equipment, and cases in which electric power to monitors was cut
 off.

 A larger question is how Russia's far-flung nuclear facilities will
 survive, given the shrinking resources available from Moscow. Many
 institutes have been under pressure to seek contracts outside
 Russia in order to stay alive, including from countries with
 developing nuclear power and weapons programs such as India, China
 and Iran.

 The Russian Ministry of Atomic Energy is also going through a tense
 debate about survival. The minister, Yevgeny Adamov, recently
 suggested splitting off some of the ministry's lucrative commercial
 activities, which generate cash, into a new state-owned company.
 Critics say it could starve the weapons and research complex, for
 which government subsidies have dwindled. Some also fear that the
 plan will only throw open the doors to even more aggressive global
 commerce by individual Russian nuclear institutes.

 In the past, nations seeking know-how and fissile material for a
 weapons program have obtained it under the cover of civilian
 nuclear plants. A senior U.S. official said the greatest
 proliferation threat from Russia is not the possibility of leakage
 from military facilities, which tend to be guarded, but rather from
 the hundreds of civilian nuclear research facilities.

 In the Soviet police state, it was practically unimaginable that
 someone would try to steal bomb-grade plutonium or uranium. But
 today, with the authoritarian state having vanished and Russia
 mired in desperate economic conditions, the threats -- and
 vulnerabilities -- have changed.

 When police arrested three men in August 1994 at the Munich airport
 and accused them of trying to smuggle 13 ounces of weapons-grade
 plutonium into Germany, some experts contended that the material
 originally came from Obninsk. The source has never been identified,
 and the case has been described as an intelligence sting operation.
 Zrodnikov denied that the plutonium came from here. But he
 acknowledged that the new Russian market economy had brought
 temptations.

 "Earlier the system of physical protection was based mainly on the
 person with the gun, the guards," he said. "The possibility of an
 insider was not taken into account. It could not even occur to
 anybody to take the material out. There was no one to discuss it
 with. Who would possibly purchase it?"

 Now, he added, the prospect of insider diversion is real. "There is
 a very strong decline in the control over personnel," he said.
 "This selection used to be so strict, that this factor was a
 reliable element of protection. Now the reliability has declined
 considerably."

 At the entrance to this town, a sign welcomes visitors to the home
 of the "peaceful atom." Spread across two campuses over nearly 300
 acres, the institute, established after World War II, held a
 central place in Soviet nuclear power research. At its peak in 1988
 the institute had 10,000 workers, but now there are only 5,580. The
 first commercial reactor in the world was started here in 1954, and
 engineers designed many civilian reactors, as well as liquid-metal
 reactors for Alpha-class submarines and the Topaz nuclear power
 plant for spacecraft.

 For experiments, the institute received tons of bomb-grade
 plutonium and uranium. In the Soviet days, each shipment was
 accompanied by a paper "passport," listing the weight, year of
 manufacture, composition and price -- one of the more bizarre
 accounting practices of Soviet central planning.

 "It was an artificial price," said Gennady Pshakin, director of the
 international department. "No one knows the price of plutonium."

 Over time, it was not clear how much nuclear material had
 accumulated, nor what condition it was in. The Soviet numbers
 written on some of the disks were for use by the manufacturer, not
 the institute, and contained duplicates; sometimes up to five disks
 had the same number. Moreover, many of the disks needed to be
 re-covered with metal cladding, which is also painstakingly slow.
 The current pace is about a half-ton a year -- or 20 years to
 repair it all.

 Now, Matveyenko said, the engineers have put most of the old
 notebook data into a computer system. They have special scales and
 devices to measure more precisely the composition of each disk.

 But the institute is at the front lines of what looks to be a long
 battle across Russia to secure mountains of nuclear materials.

 Zrodnikov said the institute was like a bank, but without the
 equivalent means to guard the weapons-grade plutonium and uranium
 in its stores. "This property has to be accounted for, controlled,
 and protected with far higher security than, say, what they keep in
 the banks," he said. "It is obvious what problems we are facing. If
 we take any bank of Russia, they made very serious investments into
 their system of security. They have the most modern equipment. But
 all this was at the expense of their business. Our situation is
 utterly different."



       � Copyright 1998 The Washington Post Company



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