Title: [2025] Weather as a Force Multiplier: Owning the Weather in 2025
Subject: Military applications of weather modification in 2025.
Author(s): Ronald J. Celentano; Tamzy J. House (Faculty Advisor); David Mark Husband; Ann E. Mercer; James B. Near (Faculty Advisor); James E. Pugh; William B. Shields
DTIC Keywords: ANTIFOGGING AGENTS, ANTIFOGGING DEVICES, ATMOSPHERES, CLEAR WEATHER, CLOUDS, CONTROLLED ATMOSPHERES, CROSSWINDS, FOG, FOG DISPERSAL, HAIL, IONOSPHERE, LIGHTNING, RAIN, RAINFALL INTENSITY, STORMS, THUNDERSTORMS, UPPER ATMOSPHERE, WEATHER, WEATHER COMMUNICATIONS, WEATHER FORECASTING, WEATHER MODIFICATION, WIND, WIND SHEAR
Abstract: In 2025 US aerospace forces can "own the weather"
by capitalizing on emerging technologies and focusing development of those
technologies to warfighting applications. Such a capability offers the
warfighter tools to shape the battlespace in ways never before possible. It
provides opportunities to impact operations across the full spectrum of conflict
and is pertinent to all possible futures. The purpose of this paper is to
outline a strategy for the use of a future weather modification system to
achieve military objectives rather than to provide a detailed technical road
map.
A high risk/high reward endeavor, weather modification offers a
dilemma not unlike the splitting of the atom. While some segments of society
will always be reluctant to examine controversial issues such as weather
modification, the tremendous military capabilities that could result from this
field are ignored at our own peril. From enhancing friendly operations or
disrupting those of the enemy via small-scale tailoring of natural weather
patterns, to complete dominance of global communications and counter-space
control, weather modification offers the warfighter a wide range of possible
options to defeat or coerce an adversary.
Technology advancements in
five major areas are necessary for an integrated weather modification
capability: (1) advanced nonlinear modeling techniques, (2) computational
capability, (3) information gathering and transmission, (4) a global sensor
array, and (5) weather intervention techniques. Some intervention tools exist
today and others may be developed and refined in the future.
Current
technologies which will mature over the next thirty years will offer anyone who
has the necessary resources the ability to modify weather patterns and their
corresponding effects, at least on the local scale. Current demographic,
economic, and environmental trends will create global stresses that provide the
impetus necessary for many countries or groups to turn this weather modification
ability into a capability. In the US, weather modification will likely become a
part of national security policy with both domestic and international
applications. Our government will pursue such a policy, depending on its
interests, at various levels. These levels could include: unilateral actions,
participation in a security framework such as NATO, membership in an
international organization such as the UN, or participation in a coalition.
Assuming that in 2025 our national security strategy includes weather
modification, its use in our national military strategy will naturally follow.
Besides the significant benefits an operational capability would provide,
another motivation to pursue weather modification is to deter and counter
potential adversaries.
In this paper we show that appropriate
application of weather modification can provide battlespace dominance to a
degree never before imagined. In the future, such operations will enhance air
and space superiority and provide new options for battlespace shaping and
battlespace awareness. "The technology is there, waiting for us to pull it
all together;" in 2025 we can "Own the Weather."
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