-Caveat Lector-

Title: [2025] Weather as a Force Multiplier: Owning the Weather in 2025

http://www.au.af.mil/au/database/research/ay1996/acsc/96-025ag.htm

Subject: Military applications of weather modification in 2025.

Author(s): Ronald J. Celentano; Tamzy J. House (Faculty Advisor); David
Mark Husband; Ann E. Mercer; James B. Near (Faculty Advisor);
James E. Pugh; William B. Shields

DTIC Keywords: ANTIFOGGING AGENTS, ANTIFOGGING DEVICES,
ATMOSPHERES, CLEAR WEATHER, CLOUDS, CONTROLLED
ATMOSPHERES, CROSSWINDS, FOG, FOG DISPERSAL, HAIL,
IONOSPHERE, LIGHTNING, RAIN, RAINFALL INTENSITY, STORMS,
THUNDERSTORMS, UPPER ATMOSPHERE, WEATHER, WEATHER
COMMUNICATIONS, WEATHER FORECASTING, WEATHER
MODIFICATION, WIND, WIND SHEAR

Abstract: In 2025 US aerospace forces can "own the weather" by
capitalizing on emerging technologies and focusing development of those
technologies to warfighting applications. Such a capability offers the
warfighter tools to shape the battlespace in ways never before possible. It
provides opportunities to impact operations across the full spectrum of
conflict and is pertinent to all possible futures. The purpose of this paper
is to outline a strategy for the use of a future weather modification system to
achieve military objectives rather than to provide a detailed
technical road map.

A high risk/high reward endeavor, weather modification offers a dilemma
not unlike the splitting of the atom. While some segments of society
will always be reluctant to examine controversial issues such as weather
modification, the tremendous military capabilities that could result
from this field are ignored at our own peril. From enhancing friendly
operations or disrupting those of the enemy via small-scale tailoring of
natural weather patterns, to complete dominance of global communications
and counter-space control, weather modification offers the
warfighter a wide range of possible options to defeat or coerce an
adversary.

Technology advancements in five major areas are necessary for an
integrated weather modification capability: (1) advanced nonlinear
modeling techniques, (2) computational capability, (3) information
gathering and transmission, (4) a global sensor array, and (5) weather
intervention techniques. Some intervention tools exist today and others may
be developed and refined in the future.

Current technologies which will mature over the next thirty years will offer
anyone who has the necessary resources the ability to modify weather
patterns and their corresponding effects, at least on the local scale. Current
demographic, economic, and environmental trends will create
global stresses that provide the impetus necessary for many countries or
groups to turn this weather modification ability into a capability. In the
US, weather modification will likely become a part of national security
policy with both domestic and international applications. Our government
will pursue such a policy, depending on its interests, at various levels.
These levels could include: unilateral actions, participation in a security
framework such as NATO, membership in an international organization
such as the UN, or participation in a coalition. Assuming that in 2025
our national security strategy includes weather modification, its use in our
national military strategy will naturally follow. Besides the significant
benefits an operational capability would provide, another motivation to
pursue weather modification is to deter and counter potential
adversaries.

In this paper we show that appropriate application of weather modification can provide 
battlespace dominance to a degree never before
imagined. In the future, such operations will enhance air and space superiority and 
provide new options for battlespace shaping and
battlespace awareness. "The technology is there, waiting for us to pull it all
together;" in 2025 we can "Own the Weather."

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Steve Wingate
California Director
SKYWATCH INTERNATIONAL

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