-Caveat Lector-

DOMESTIC BIOTERRROISM

<Picture: inmask.jpg -  Photo Courtesy of DoD>Bioterrorism Attack Fears Raised
by Conference Exercise
By: Paul Anderson, Correspondent/Analyst

Chicago, IL (EmergencyNet News) - A tabletop exercise held last week confirms
what Emergency Response & Research Institute (ERRI) analysts have been saying
for more than five years. The realistic simulation of a smallpox release,
sponsored by the Center for Civilian Biodefense Studies at Johns Hopkins
University, left 15,000 people dead over two months and theoretically left
more than 80 million people dead, world-wide, in a year.

Clark Staten, ERRI Executive Director and Senior National Security Analyst,
says that the scenario outlined is "a nightmare" that could happen tomorrow in
almost any of America's cities. "We are far more concerned about the potential
implications of a bioterrorist attack than we are about the use of chemical
weapons," Staten said in an interview over the weekend. "A chemical attack is
more finite and similar to hazardous materials incidents that are managed
everyday by America's Fire/EMS/Police forces...a Biological release incident
will be far more insidious and difficult to detect," Staten added.

Staten says that a chemical release, for instance a nerve gas attack, will
almost immediately affect the exposed population and that we have drugs that
can be given to treat those stricken by it. "The affects of a chemical attack
could be dramatic and perhaps overwhelming, but at least we know what drugs
can counter-act these agents and we are probably more prepared to manage the
consequences," the veteran counter-terrorist analyst continued. "A biological
release, on the other hand, might not be discovered for several days, until
the first patients begin to enter into the emergency medical care system," he
added.

"And then," Staten continued, "the symptoms may not be readily identifiable as
those of a bio-agent...the patients may present with what appears to be a
typical 'flu syndrome' that would not draw immediate attention from
EMS/medical professionals." "The greatest danger is that of a
contagious/infectious disease, with a high mortality rate, that could be
spread from person to person, through the air," Staten said. "If the danger is
not recognized early, such an attack could also quickly infect and debilitate
the EMS/Medical community, who would then not be able to assist others,"
Staten added.

ERRI analysts, who have been researching and writing about the threat of
chemical and biological attack since 1987, conclude that America is becoming
more aware of the potential for a terrorist attack involving Weapons of Mass
Destruction (WMD). They point to a variety of training programs that are being
conducted by the U.S. Department of Defense and the U.S. Department of Justice
as a good first step in becoming better prepared. But, they also believe that
America is far from being adequately trained or equipped for the necessary
counter-measures that might be needed to effectively assure American security.

"The truth is...only a very small percentage of America's emergency responders
have, to date, received the necessary training or equipment to deal with a
major chemical or biological release within CONUS (Continental United
States)," the retired emergency service chief said. "We've come a long way in
regard to our collective knowledge of this issue in the past couple of years,
but we still got a ways to go before we can, in reality, call ourselves
prepared," Staten said.  "If this threat is a reality, it must become a
priority...we must expand our education and training efforts and develop the
needed testing equipment that can detect chemical or biological agents rapidly
and right there, in the field," he added.

"Additionally, we believe we need to use things like internet 'distance
learning,' the sharing of 'lessons-learned' databases, and other innovative
methods to spread the word to all of the parts of the emergency and public
health community...in order to hasten and broaden the knowledge base in this
country," he continued. "Our intelligence assessments at ERRI, and those
coming from a number of U.S. government agencies, suggest that it is only a
matter of time before we are faced
with a large scale terror attack involving chemical, biological or nuclear
weapons...the time to prepare is now," Staten concluded.

(c) Copyright, EmergencyNet NEWS Service, 1999. All Rights Reserved.
Redistribution without permission is prohibited by law.

The ERRI DAILY INTELLIGENCE REPORT is a subscription publication of the
EmergencyNet NEWS Service, which is a part of the Chicago-based Emergency
Response and Research Institute (ERRI). This publication specializes in
Security/Terrorism/Intelligence/Military and National Security issues.

Emergency Response and Research Institute
6348 N Milwaukee Ave, Suite 312, Chicago, Illinois 60646 USA

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