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[ Subject: 'Conspiracy Theories' and                                       ]
[ Newsgroups: ftn.z1.consprcy                                              ]
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Subject:         [prj] 'Conspiracy Theories' and Clandestine Politics

               'Conspiracy Theories' and Clandestine Politics

                     by Jeffrey M. Bale From Lobster 29

Very few notions generate as much intellectual resistance, hostility,
and derision within academic circles as a belief in the historical
importance or efficacy of political conspiracies. Even when this belief
is expressed in a very cautious manner, limited to specific and
restricted contexts, supported by reliable evidence, and hedged about
with all sort of qualifications, it still manages to transcend the
boundaries of acceptable discourse and violate unspoken academic taboos.
The idea that particular groups of people meet together secretly or in
private to plan various courses of action, and that some of these plans
actually exert a significant influence on particular historical
developments, is typically rejected out of hand and assumed to be the
figment of a paranoid imagination. The mere mention of the word
'conspiracy' seems to set off an internal alarm bell which causes
scholars to close their minds in order to avoid cognitive dissonance and
possible unpleasantness, since the popular image of conspiracy both
fundamentally challenges the conception most educated, sophisticated
people have about how the world op

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[ This is a repost of the following article:                               ]
[ From: Patrick Sullivan <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>       ]
[ Subject: 'Conspiracy Theories' and                                       ]
[ Newsgroups: ftn.z1.consprcy                                              ]
[ Message-ID: <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>                   ]

------- Forwarded Message Follows -------
Date sent:       Fri, 27 Nov 1998 10:31:19 -0500
From:            "Mark A. Smith" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Send reply to:   [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To:              Mark <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Subject:         [prj] 'Conspiracy Theories' and Clandestine Politics

               'Conspiracy Theories' and Clandestine Politics

                     by Jeffrey M. Bale From Lobster 29

Very few notions generate as much intellectual resistance, hostility,
and derision within academic circles as a belief in the historical
importance or efficacy of political conspiracies. Even when this belief
is expressed in a very cautious manner, limited to specific and
restricted contexts, supported by reliable evidence, and hedged about
with all sort of qualifications, it still manages to transcend the
boundaries of acceptable discourse and violate unspoken academic taboos.
The idea that particular groups of people meet together secretly or in
private to plan various courses of action, and that some of these plans
actually exert a significant influence on particular historical
developments, is typically rejected out of hand and assumed to be the
figment of a paranoid imagination. The mere mention of the word
'conspiracy' seems to set off an internal alarm bell which causes
scholars to close their minds in order to avoid cognitive dissonance and
possible unpleasantness, since the popular image of conspiracy both
fundamentally challenges the conception most educated, sophisticated
people have about how the world operates and reminds them of the
horrible persecutions that absurd and unfounded conspiracy theories have
precipitated or sustained in the past. So strong is this prejudice among
academics that even when clear evidence of a plot is inadvertently
discovered in the course of their own research, they frequently feel
compelled, either out of a sense of embarrassment or a desire to defuse
anticipated criticism, to preface their account of it by ostentatiously
disclaiming a belief in conspiracies. (1)

They then often attempt to downplay the significance of the plotting
they have uncovered. To do otherwise, that is, to make a serious effort
to incorporate the documented activities of conspiratorial groups into
their general political or historical analyses, would force them to
stretch their mental horizons beyond customary bounds and, not
infrequently, delve even further into certain sordid and politically
sensitive topics. Most academic researchers clearly prefer to ignore the
implications of conspiratorial politics altogether rather than deal
directly with such controversial matters.

A number of complex cultural and historical factors contribute to this
reflexive and unwarranted reaction, but it is perhaps most often the
direct result of a simple failure to distinguish between 'conspiracy
theories' in the strict sense of the term, which are essentially
elaborate fables even though they may well be based upon a kernel of
truth, and the activities of actual clandestine and covert political
groups, which are a common feature of modern politics. For this and
other reasons, serious research into genuine conspiratorial networks has
at worst been suppressed, as a rule been discouraged, and at best been
looked upon with condescension by the academic community. (2) An entire
dimension of political history and contemporary politics has thus been
consistently neglected. (3)

For decades scholars interested in politics have directed their
attention toward explicating and evaluating the merits of various
political theories, or toward analyzing the more conventional, formal,
and overt aspects of practical politics. Even a cursory examination of
standard social science bibliographies reveals that tens of thousands of
books and articles have been written about staple subjects such as the
structure and functioning of government bureaucracies, voting patterns
and electoral results, parliamentary procedures and activities, party
organizations and factions, the impact of constitutional provisions or
laws, and the like. In marked contrast, only a handful of scholarly
publications have been devoted to the general theme of political
conspiracies--as opposed to popular anti-conspiracy treatises, which are
very numerous, and specific case studies of events in which
conspiratorial groups have played some role -- and virtually all of
these concern themselves with the deleterious social impact of the
'paranoid style' of thought manifested in classic conspiracy theories
rather than the characteristic features of real conspiratorial politics.
(4)

Only the academic literature dealing with specialized topics like
espionage, covert action, political corruption, terrorism, and
revolutionary warfare touches upon clandestine and covert political
activities on a more or less regular basis, probably because such
activities cannot be avoided when dealing with these topics. But the
analyses and information contained therein are rarely incorporated into
standard works of history and social science, and much of that
specialized literature is itself unsatisfactory. Hence there is an
obvious need to place the study of conspiratorial politics on a sound
theoretical, methodological, and empirical footing, since ignoring the
influence of such politics can lead to severe errors of historical
interpretation.

This situation can only be remedied when a clear-cut analytical
distinction has been made between classic conspiracy theories and the
more limited conspiratorial activities that are a regular feature of
politics. 'Conspiracy theories' share a number of distinguishing
characteristics, but in all of them the essential element is a belief in
the existence of a 'vast, insidious, preternaturally effective
international conspiratorial network designed to perpetrate acts of the
most fiendish character', acts which aim to 'undermine and destroy a way
of life.' (5)

Although this apocalyptic conception is generally regarded nowadays as
the fantastic product of a paranoid mindset, in the past it was often
accepted as an accurate description of reality by large numbers of
people from all social strata, including intellectuals and heads of
state. (6) The fact that a belief in sinister, all- powerful
conspiratorial forces has not been restricted to small groups of
clinical paranoids and mental defectives suggests that it fulfills
certain important social functions and psychological needs.(7)

First of all, like many other intellectual constructs, conspiracy
theories help to make complex patterns of cause-and-effect in human
affairs more comprehensible by means of reductionism and
oversimplification. Secondly, they purport to identify the underlying
source of misery and injustice in the world, thereby accounting for
current crises and upheavals and explaining why bad things are happening
to good people or vice versa. Thirdly, by personifying that source they
paradoxically help people to reaffirm their own potential ability to
control the course of future historical developments. After all, if evil
conspirators are consciously causing undesirable changes, the
implication is that others, perhaps through the adoption of similar
techniques, may also consciously intervene to protect a threatened way
of life or otherwise alter the historical process. In short, a belief in
conspiracy theories helps people to make sense out of a confusing,
inhospitable reality, rationalize their present difficulties, and
partially assuage their feelings of powerlessness. In this sense, it is
no different than any number of religious, social, or political beliefs,
and is deserving of the same serious study.

The image of conspiracies promoted by conspiracy theorists needs to be
further illuminated before it can be contrasted with genuine
conspiratorial politics. In the first place, conspiracy theorists
consider the alleged conspirators to be Evil incarnate. They are not
simply people with differing values or run-of-the-mill political
opponents, but inhuman, superhuman, and/or anti-human beings who
regularly commit abominable acts and are implacably attempting to
subvert and destroy everything that is decent and worth preserving in
the existing world. Thus, according to John Robison, the Bavarian
Illuminati were formed 'for the express purpose of ROOTING OUT ALL THE
RELIGIOUS ESTABLISHMENTS, AND OVERTURNING ALL THE EXISTING GOVERNMENTS
IN EUROPE.' (8)

This grandiose claim is fairly representative, in the sense that most
conspiracy theorists view the world in similarly Manichean and
apocalyptic terms.

Secondly, conspiracy theorists perceive the conspiratorial group as both
monolithic and unerring in the pursuit of its goals. This group is
directed from a single conspiratorial centre, acting as a sort of
general staff, which plans and coordinates all of its activities down to
the last detail. Note, for example, Prince Clemens von Metternich's
claim that a 'directing committee' of the radicals from all over Europe
had been established in Paris to pursue their insidious plotting against
established governments. (9)

Given that presumption, it is no accident that many conspiracy theorists
refer to 'the Conspiracy' rather than (lower case)conspiracies or
conspiratorial factions, since they perceive no internal divisions among
the conspirators. Rather, as a group the conspirators are believed to
possess an extraordinary degree of internal solidarity, which produces a
corresponding degree of counter solidarity vis-a-vis society at large,
and indeed it is this very cohesion and singleness of purpose which
enables them to effectively execute their plans to destroy existing
institutions, seize power, and eliminate all opposition.

Thirdly, conspiracy theorists believe that the conspiratorial group is
omnipresent, at least within its own sphere of operations. While some
conspiracy theories postulate a relatively localized group of
conspirators, most depict this group as both international in its
spatial dimensions and continuous in its temporal dimensions. '[T]he
conspirators planned and carried out evil in the past, they are
successfully active in the present, and they will triumph in the future
if they are not disturbed in their plans by those with information about
their sinister designs.'(10)

The conspiratorial group is therefore capable of operating virtually
everywhere. As a consequence of this ubiquitousness, anything that
occurs which has a broadly negative impact or seems in anyway related to
the purported aims of the conspirators can thus be plausibly attributed
to them.

Fourthly, the conspiratorial group is viewed by conspiracy theorists as
virtually omnipotent. In the past this group has successfully overthrown
empires and nations, corrupted whole societies, and destroyed entire
civilizations and cultures, and it is said to be in the process of
accomplishing the same thing at this very moment. Its members are
secretly working in every nook and cranny of society, and are making use
of every subversive technique known to mankind to achieve their
nefarious purposes. Nothing appears to be able to stand in their
way--unless the warnings of the conspiracy theorists are heeded and
acted upon at once. Even then there is no guarantee of ultimate victory
against such powerful forces, but a failure to recognize the danger and
take immediate countervailing action assures the success of those forces
in the near future.

Finally, for conspiracy theorists conspiracies are not simply a regular
feature of politics whose importance varies in different historical
contexts, but rather the motive force of all historical change and
development. The conspiratorial group can and does continually alter the
course of history, invariably in negative and destructive ways, through
conscious planning and direct intervention. Its members are not buffeted
about by structural forces beyond their control and understanding, like
everyone else, but are themselves capable of controlling events more or
less at will. This supposed ability is usually attributed to some
combination of demonic influence or sponsorship, the possession of
arcane knowledge, the mastery of devilish techniques, and/or the
creation of a preternaturally effective clandestine organization. As a
result, unpleasant occurrences which are perceived by others to be the
products of coincidence or chance are viewed by conspiracy theorists as
further evidence of the secret workings of the conspiratorial group. For
them, nothing that happens occurs by accident. Everything is the result
of secret plotting in accordance with some sinister design.

This central characteristic of conspiracy theories has been aptly summed
up by Donna Kossy in a popular book on fringe ideas:

Conspiracy theories are like black holes--they suck in everything that
comes their way, regardless of content or origin...Everything you've
ever known or experienced, no matter how 'meaningless', once it contacts
the conspiratorial universe, is enveloped by and cloaked in sinister
significance. Once inside, the vortex gains in size and strength,
sucking in everything you touch. (11)

As an example of this sort of mechanism, one has only to mention the so-
called 'umbrella man', a man who opened up an umbrella on a sunny day in
Dealey Plaza just as President John F. Kennedy's motorcade was passing.
A number of 'conspiracy theorists' have assumed that this man was
signalling to the assassins, thus tying a seemingly trivial and
inconsequential act into the alleged plot to kill Kennedy. It is
precisely this totalistic, all-encompassing quality that distinguishes
'conspiracy theories' from the secret but often mundane political
planning that is carried out on a daily basis by all sorts of groups,
both within and outside of government. It should, however, be pointed
out that even if the 'umbrella man' was wholly innocent of any
involvement in a plot, as he almost certainly was, this does not mean
that the Warren Commission's reconstruction of the assassination is
accurate.

However that may be, real covert politics, although by definition hidden
or disguised and often deleterious in their impact, simply do not
correspond to the bleak, simplistic image propounded by conspiracy
theorists. Far from embodying metaphysical evil, they are perfectly and
recognizably human, with all the positive and negative characteristics
and potentialities which that implies. At the most basic level, all the
efforts of individuals to privately plan and secretly initiate actions
for their own perceived mutual benefit --insofar as these are
intentionally withheld from outsiders and require the maintenance of
secrecy for their success--are conspiracies. Moreover, in contrast to
the claims of conspiracy theorists, covert politics are anything but
monolithic. At any given point in time, there are dozens if not
thousands of competitive political and economic groups engaging in
secret planning and activities, and most are doing so in an effort to
gain some advantage over their rivals among the others. Such
behind-the-scene operations are present on every level, from the mundane
efforts of small-scale retailers to gain competitive advantage by being
the first to develop new product lines to the crucially important
attempts by rival secret services to penetrate and manipulate each
other. Sometimes the patterns of these covert rivalries and struggles
are relatively stable over time, whereas at other times they appear
fluid and kaleidoscopic, as different groups secretly shift alliances
and change tactics in accordance with their perceived interests. Even
internally, within particular groups operating clandestinely, there are
typically bitter disagreements between various factions over the
specific courses of action to be adopted. Unanimity of opinioon
historical judgements. There is probably no way to prevent this sort of
unconscious reaction in the current intellectual climate, but the least
that can be expected of serious scholars is that they carefully examine
the available evidence before dismissing these matters out of hand.

     Footnotes

     1. Compare Robin Ramsay, 'Conspiracy, Conspiracy Theories and
     Conspiracy Research', Lobster 19 (1990), p. 25: 'In intellectually
     respectable company it is necessary to preface any reference to
     actual political, economic, military or paramilitary conspiracies
     with the disclaimer that the speaker "doesn't believe in the
     conspiracy theory of history (or politics)".'This type of disclaimer
     quite clearly reveals the speaker's inability to distinguish between
     bona fide conspiracy theories and actual conspiratorial politics.

     2. The word 'suppress' is not too strong here. I personally know of
     at least one case in which a very bright graduate student at a
     prestigious East Coast university was unceremoniously told by his
     advisor that if he wanted to write a Ph.D. thesis on an interesting
     historical example of conspiratorial politics he would have to go
     elsewhere to do so. He ended up leaving academia altogether and
     became a professional journalist, in which capacity he has produced a
     number of interesting books and articles.

     3. Complaints about this general academic neglect have often been
     made by those few scholars who have done research on key aspects of
     covert and clandestine politics which are directly relevant to this
     study. See, for example, Gary Marx, 'Thoughts on a Neglected Category
     of Social Movement Participant: The Agent Provocateur and the
     Informant', American Journal of Sociology 80:2 (September 1974),
     especially pp. 402-3. One of the few dissertations dealing directly
     with this topic, though not in a particularly skilful fashion, is
     Frederick A. Hoffman, 'Secret Roles and Provocation: Covert
     Operations in Movements for social Change' (Unpublished Ph.D.
     Dissertation: UCLA Sociology Department, 1979). There are, of course,
     some excellent academic studies which have given due weight to these
     matters--for example, Nurit Schleifman, Undercover Agents in the
     Russian Revolutionary Movement: The SR Party, 1902-1914 (Basingstoke:
     Macmillan/ St. Anthony's College, 1988); and Jean-Paul Brunet, La
     police de l'ombre: Indicateurs et provocateurs dans la France
     contemporaine (Paris: Seuil, 1990)--but such studies areunfortunately
     few and far between.

     4. The standard academic treatments of conspiracy theories are
     Richard Hofstadter, 'The Paranoid Style in American Politics', in
     Hofstadter, The Paranoid Style in American Politics and Other Essays
     (New York: Knopf, 1966), pp. 3-40; Norman Cohn, Warrant for Genocide:
     The Myth of the Jewish World-Conspiracy and the Protocols of the
     Elders of Zion (Chico, CA: Scholars, 1981 [1969]); J. M. Roberts, The
     Mythology of the Secret Societies (London: Secker & Warburg, 1972);
     Johannes Rogallavon Bieberstein, Die These von der Verschwrung,
     1776-1945: Philosophen, Freimaurer, Juden, Liberale und Sozialisten
     als Verschwrergegen die Sozialordnung (Frankfurt am Main: Peter Lang,
     1976); and Carl F. Graumann and Serge Moscovici, eds., Changing
     Conceptions of Conspiracy (New York: Springer, 1987). See also the
     journalistic studies by George Johnson, Architects of Fear:
     Conspiracy Theories and paranoia in American Politics (Los Angeles:
     Tarcher, 1983); and Jonathan Vankin, Conspiracies, Cover-Ups, and
     Crimes: Political Manipulation and Mind Control in America (New York:
     Paragon House, 1992).

     5. See Hofstadter, 'Paranoid Style', pp. 14, 29.

     6. Although conspiracy theories have been widely accepted in the most
     disparate eras and parts of the world, and thus probably have a
     certain universality as explanatory models, at certain points in time
     they have taken on an added salience due to particular historical
     circumstances. Their development and diffusion seems to be broadly
     correlated with the level of social, economic, and political upheaval
     or change, though indigenous cultural values and intellectual
     traditions determine their specific form and condition their level of
     popularity.

     7. As many scholars have pointed out, if such ideas were
     restricted to clinical paranoids, they would have little or no
     historical importance. What makes the conspiratorial or paranoid
     style of thought interesting and historically significant is that it
     frequently tempts more or less normal people and has often been
     diffused among broad sections of the population in certain periods.
     Conspiracy theories are important as collective delusions, delusions
     which nevertheless reflect real fears and real social problems,
     rather than as evidence of individual pathologies. See, for example,
     Hofstadter,'Paranoid Style', pp. 3-4.

     8. See his Proofs of a Conspiracy Against All the Religions and
     Governments of Europe, Carried on in the Secret Meetings of free
     Masons, Illuminati, and Reading Societies, Collected from Good
     Authorities (New York: G. Forman, 1798), p. 14. This exhibits yet
     another characteristic of 'conspiracy theorists'--the tendency to
     over-dramatize everything by using capital letters with reckless
     abandon.

     9. See his 'Geheime Denkschrift nber die Grundung eines
     Central-Comites der nordischen Machte in Wien', in Aus Metternichs
     nachgelassenen Papieren, ed. by Richard Metternich-Winneburg (Vienna:
     1881),vol. 1, p. 595, cited in Rogalla von Bieberstein, These von der
     Verschwrung, pp. 139-40.

     10. Dieter Groh, 'Temptation of Conspiracy Theory, Part I', in
     Changing Conceptions of Conspiracy, p. 3. A classic example of
     conspiratorial works that view modern revolutionary movements as
     little more than the latest manifestations of subversive forces with
     a very long historical pedigree is the influential book by Nesta H.
     Webster, Secret Societies and Subversive Movements (London: Boswell,
     1924). For more on Webster's background, see the biographical study
     by Richard M. Gilman, Behind World Revolution: The Strange Career of
     Nesta H. Webster (Ann Arbor: Insight, 1982), of which only one volume
     has so far appeared.

     11. Kooks: A Guide to the Outer Limits of Human Belief (Portland:
     Feral House, 1994), p. 191.

     12. For more on P2, see above all the materials published by the
     Italian parliamentary commission investigating the organization,
     which are divided into the majority (Anselmi) report, five dissenting
     minority reports, and over one hundred thick volumes of attached
     documents and verbatim testimony before the commission. Compare also
     Martin Berger, Historia de la loggia masonica P2 (Buenos Aires: El
     Cid, 1983); Andrea Barbieri et al, L'Italia della P2 (Milan:
     Mondadori, 1981); Alberto Cecchi, Storia della P2 (Rome: Riuniti,
     1985); Roberto Fabiani, I massoni in Italia (Milan: L'Espresso,
     1978); Gianfranco Piazzesi, Gelli: La carriere di un eroe di questa
     Italia (Milan: Garzanti, 1983); Marco Ramat et al, La resistabile
     ascesa della P2: Poteri occulti e stato democratico (Bari: De Donato,
     1983); Renato Risaliti, Licio Gelli, a carte scoperte (Florence:
     Fernando Brancato, 1991); and Gianni Rossi and Franceso Lombrassa, In
     nome della 'loggia': Le prove di come lamassoneria segreta ha tentato
     di impadronarsi dello stato italiano. Iretroscena della P2 (Rome:
     Napoleone, 1981). Pro P2 works include those of Gelli supporter Pier
     Carpi, Il caso Gelli: La verita sulla loggia P2 (Bologna: INEI,
     1982); and the truly Orwellian work by Gelli himself, La verita
     (Lugano: Demetra, 1989), which in spite of its title bears little
     resemblance to the truth.

     13. For the AB, see Ivor Wilkins and Hans Strydom, The
     Super-Afrikaners: Inside the Afrikaner Broederbond (Johannesburg:
     Jonathan Ball, 1978); and J.H.P.Serfontein, Brotherhood of Power: An
     Expose of the Secret Afrikaner Broederbond (Bloomington and London:
     Indiana University, 1978).Compare also B. M. Schoeman, Die
     Broederbond in die Afrikaner-politiek (Pretoria: Aktuele, 1982); and
     Adrien Pelzer, Die Afrikaner-Broederbond: Eerste 50 jaar (Cape Town:
     Tafelberg, 1979).

     14. See his Historians' Fallacies: Toward a Logic of Historical
     Thought (New York: Harper & Row, 1970), pp. 74-8.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------
-- Copyright Lobster, http://www.knowledge.co.uk/xxx/lobster/

Patrick <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
|"The illegal we do immediately. The unconstitutional takes a little longer."
Henry Kissenger



---
 o RM 1.31 3226 o Clinton's not a liar; He's "ethically challenged."


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