-Caveat Lector-

     April 19, 1999

     The Clinton Doctrine

     See below for background and related information.

     E-mail this story to a friend.

     President Clinton's decision to use military force against the Serbs was not 
simply a
     calculated response to Slobodan Milosevic's intransigence. A careful reading of 
recent
     Administration statements and Pentagon documents shows that the NATO bombing is
     part of a larger strategic vision.

     That vision has three basic components. The first is an increasingly pessimistic 
appraisal
     of the global security environment. "In this last annual threat assessment of the 
twentieth
     century," Director of Central Intelligence George Tenet testified on February 2, 
"I must
     tell you that US citizens and interests are threatened in many arenas and across 
a wide
     spectrum of issues." Those perils range from regional conflict and insurgency to
     terrorism, criminal violence and ethnic unrest.

     The second component is the assumption that as a global power with far-flung
     economic interests, the United States has a vested interest in maintaining 
international
     stability. Because no other power or group of powers can guarantee this 
stability, the
     United States must be able to act on its own or in conjunction with its most 
trusted allies
     (meaning NATO).

     The third component is a conviction that to achieve global stability, the United 
States
     must maintain sufficient forces to conduct simultaneous military operations in 
widely
     separated areas of the world against multiple adversaries, and it must revise its 
existing
     security alliances--most of which, like NATO, are defensive in nature--so that 
they can
     better support US global expeditionary operations.

     Combined, these three propositions constitute a new strategic template for the US
     military establishment. This template is evident, for example, in the $112 
billion the
     President wants to add to the Defense Department budget over the next six years,
     which will be used to procure additional warships, cargo planes, assault vehicles 
and
     other equipment intended for "power projection" into distant combat zones.

     Less public, but no less significant, is the US effort to convert NATO from a 
defensive
     alliance in Western Europe into a regional police force governed by Washington.
     Secretary of State Madeleine Albright first unveiled this scheme this past 
December at a
     meeting of NATO foreign ministers in Brussels. Claiming that missile-armed "rogue
     states" pose as great a threat to Europe as the Warsaw Pact once did, Albright 
called
     on NATO to extend its operational zone into distant areas and to combat a wide 
range
     of emerging threats. "Common sense tells us," she said, "that it is sometimes 
better to
     deal with instability when it is still at arm's length than to wait until it is 
at our doorstep."

     Herein lies the essence of what might be termed the Clinton Doctrine--the 
proposition
     that the best way to maintain stability in the areas that truly matter to the 
United States
     (like Western Europe) is to combat instability in other areas, however 
insignificant it
     may seem, before it can intensify and spread. Perhaps the most explicit 
expression of
     this doctrine was Clinton's February 26 speech in San Francisco--an important
     statement that clearly foreshadowed the decision to bomb Serbia:

          It's easy...to say that we really have no interests in who lives in this or 
that
          valley in Bosnia, or who owns a strip of brushland in the Horn of Africa,
          or some piece of parched earth by the Jordan River. But the true measure
          of our interests lies not in how small or distant these places are, or in
          whether we have trouble pronouncing their names. The question we must
          ask is, what are the consequences to our security of letting conflicts fester
          and spread. We cannot, indeed, we should not, do everything or be
          everywhere. But where our values and our interests are at stake, and
          where we can make a difference, we must be prepared to do so
          [emphasis added].

     This is an extraordinary statement; not since the Vietnam era has a US President
     articulated such an ambitious and far-reaching policy. Moreover, as we have seen 
in the
     Balkans, Clinton has every intention of acting on its precepts. His decision to 
bomb
     Serbia is consistent with a clearly delineated strategic plan.

     There is a growing debate over the wisdom of bombing Serbia. Certainly many people
     are concerned about the humanitarian dimensions of the Serbian actions in Kosovo. 
But
     in the course of this debate it is essential not to lose sight of the larger 
strategic doctrine
     behind the bombing. If the newly hatched Clinton Doctrine is not repudiated, the
     bombing of Yugoslavia may be only the first in a series of recurring overseas
     interventions--a prospect that should galvanize peace and disarmament groups 
across
     America.

     Michael T. Klare

                                                     E-mail this story to a friend.


     Michael T. Klare, professor of peace and world security studies at Hampshire
     College, is The Nation's defense correspondent.


     Background and Related Information

     Institution for War and Peace Reporting
          This is one of the few places to find dispatches, translated into English, 
from
          dissident journalists within Serbia and Kosovo, along with other good
          commentary.
          http://www.iwpr.net

     ZNet
          A page of up-to-the-minute articles regarding the current bombings. The lead
          piece by Noam Chomsky puts the entire situation into context, and other 
pieces
          posted include Andre Gunder Frank, Dave McReynolds, Diane Johnstone,
          Stephen Zunes and Michael Albert.
          http://www.zmag.org

     Common Dreams News Center
          Provides breaking news and views for progressive-thinking Americans, with
          ample information on the crisis in Kosovo, including maps and breaking 
updates
          from various news services.
          http://www.commondreams.org/kosovo/kosovo.htm

     Fairness & Accuracy in Reporting
          FAIR's coverage of the war in Yugoslavia includes "Rescued from the Memory
          Hole: Background of Serb/Albanian Conflict."
          http://www.fair.org

     Help B92
          As the situation in Yugoslavia worsens and many are questioning the
          effectiveness of the NATO air strikes, this group has been founded to try to
          insure the distribution of relevant information. This group is called Help 
B92, in
          honor of one of Yugoslavia's most important media entities, Radio B92, the
          backbone of the independent news service in Yugoslavia. Without immediate
          financial support, this last source of independent news for the inhabitants 
of this
          region is endangered. A fundraising campaign is underway, with the objective 
of
          sending money and equipment to B92 and other independent radio stations in
          Serbia and Kosovo. For further information check out the site or email:
          [EMAIL PROTECTED]
          http://helpB92.xs4all.nl

     Help B92 in Amsterdam
          The Help B92 team in Amsterdam, the Netherlands, have begun to compile an
          archive of news stories in text and in audio to provide accurate and 
up-to-date
          information.
          http://b92.klari.net/b92/journal/default.asp?rubriek=4

     Radio B92
          Although banned, Radio B92 is still live on the web, with breaking news in
          English.
          http://www.b92.net

     Out There News
          Reports from Kosovo's frontlines, interviews with Kosovar pacifist leaders,
          photos of the destruction and historical background.
          http://www.megastories.com/kosovo/index.htm

     BBC News Online
          The BBC offers live audio coverage and many articles on Kosovo, as well as
          "Kosovo Conflict on the Web," with BBC News Online's guide to how the
          conflict is being represented on the Web.
          http://news.bbc.co.uk/hi/english/special_report/1998/kosovo

     North Atlantic Treaty Organization
          NATO's site was unavailable for a while this week, apparently because of a 
daily
          barrage by thousands of e-mails from hackers in Belgrade, which made their
          system crash.
          http://www.nato.int

     Against the NATO attacks/For the Support of Yugoslavia
          This Serb site provides someone's immediate responses to various Serbian and
          international news reports, a timetable of the day's air raids, photos of the
          destruction in Kosovo and a child's plea for peace.
          http://www.beograd.com/nato



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