-Caveat Lector-

US, Iraq are brothers in arms for oil
http://www1.timesofindia.com/cms.dll/html/comp/articleshow?artid=34493185
AP[ THURSDAY, JANUARY 16, 2003 10:18:38 AM  ]

NEW YORK: Under sanctions and an erratic leader, Iraq has hardly been a
reliable global oil supplier.

But in an odd twist, the United States has grown increasingly reliant on Iraqi oil
exports to replace supplies cut off by a seven-week-old strike in Venezuela --
even as the Bush Administration steps up preparations for a possible invasion --
raising further concerns about the impact a US attack would have on the oil
market.

"The United States gets several hundred thousand barrels a day of crude oil
from Iraq," said John Lichtblau, chairman of PIRA Energy in New York. "That's
not insignificant."

Unpublished, preliminary government data indicate exports of Iraqi oil to the
United States have been rising in recent weeks. Since the December 2 start of
the labour strike in Venezuela, Iraq's crude oil exports to the United States have
averaged more than 500,000 barrels a day, nearly double the volume reported
during the September-November period, the data show.

Last week, Iraqi oil exports to the United States jumped to 830,000 barrels a
day, their highest level since early last year and nearly 10 per cent of total US
imports that week, according to an Energy Department analyst.

While Iraq's exports remain below levels seen in 2001 and early 2002, the
recent surge, including the shipments to the United States, is making a
difference, analysts said.

The surge in Iraqi shipments helped boost total crude oil imports into the United
States by 200,000 barrels a day last week to 8. 5 million barrels a day.

"That's probably in reaction to the loss of Venezuelaexports," said Aaron Brady,
an analyst at Energy Security.

Iraqi oil exports have been erratic since the start of the United Nations oil-for-
food programme six years ago. The programme allows Iraq to sell as much oil
as it likes provided the revenue goes into a UN account and is used mostly for
humanitarian purposes.

After topping 1 million barrels a day in January and February of last year, Iraqi oil
exports to the United States nose-dived. The decline came in response to the
onerous conditions of a new UN pricing policy imposed to frustrate Baghdad's
efforts to collect an illegal surcharge from traders.

Iraq compounded the problem by cutting off its exports in April in an ill-fated
effort to spark a broad oil embargo in support of the Palestinians.

For much of last year, Iraqi exports averaged less than 1 million barrels a day,
with less than half coming to the United States.

Faced with a sharp loss of revenue and US threats of military action, Iraq quietly
dropped the surcharge demand in September. Some analysts saw the move as
an attempt to build commercial ties as a bulwark against a US attack.

Whatever the motive, the change prompted major international oil companies to
return to the Iraqi market for the first time in nearly two years, according to
industry analysts and UN diplomats.

The result has been a clear rise in Iraq's oil exports according to UN figures.
Since the start of September, Iraqi exports have averaged about 1.5 million
barrels a day, the figures show.
A<:>E<:>R
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